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Air Force

Season:
Also known as: Air Force
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1005 (#184) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 938 (#220) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -3.0 (#200) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.355 (#224) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.4 More → 0.388 (#204) NetEff -3.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.7 More → 0.343 (#209) AdjNet -5.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.7 More → 0.340 (#208) AdjNet -5.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 64.6 More → 0.421 (#204) AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 64.6

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.