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Colorado State

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Colorado State Rams
Program History
Coach: Ryun Williams

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

63.0
PPG
59.0
Opp
+4.0
Margin
41.3%
FG%
31.7%
3P%
76.7%
FT%
33.0
RPG
9.0
APG
10.0
TO
65.6
Est. poss./game
60.1
Adj PPG
59.2
Adj Opp PPG
#85
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1217 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1104, returning -20, transfers +133, freshmen +0 More → 1194 (#75) Preseason prior 1217 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1104, returning -20, transfers +133, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +190 elo More → 1144 (#71) HCA +190 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +189 elo More → 1071 (#81) HCA +189 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More → +6.9 (#103) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.8 More → +6.6 (#105) HCA +3.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.776 (#91) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.690 (#88) AdjNet +4.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.693 (#88) AdjNet +4.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 59.2 More → 0.652 (#85) AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 59.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 59.3 More → 0.610 (#89) AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 59.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.680 (#89) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.671 (#90) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 195 | GP 2 More → 1142 (#78) RD 195 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.781 (#81) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Lindenwood Lions W 63 - 46
2026-11-06 @ Utah Utes L 63 - 72
2026-11-10 @ Denver Pioneers - Preview
2026-11-13 vs Wyoming Cowgirls - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Camryn Runner Camryn Runner G 2 35.5 17.0 2.5 3.5 1.0 1.0 3.0 11.5 10.5 5 2 2.5 2.8 47.8 42.9 81.8 1.85 61.1 54.3
Kloe Froebe Kloe Froebe G 2 36.0 13.0 5.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 12.5 7.0 -9 2 -4.5 -5.0 40.0 0.0 85.7 -1.77 46.3 40.0
McKenna Murphy McKenna Murphy G 2 34.5 12.0 3.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 10.0 6.5 3 2 1.5 1.7 50.0 37.5 100.0 -0.68 58.7 57.5
Caitlin Kramer Caitlin Kramer G 2 34.5 9.0 8.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 7.5 13.5 5 2 2.5 2.9 33.3 44.4 50.0 -1.27 48.6 46.7
Sophie Sene Sophie Sene F 2 19.0 5.0 3.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.5 -12 2 -6.0 -12.9 33.3 33.3 0 -2.17 41.7 41.7
Heidur Karlsdottir Heidur Karlsdottir F 2 18.5 4.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 0.0 3.0 7.5 20 2 10.0 20.9 66.7 0 0 -0.11 66.7 66.7
Bree Bowman Bree Bowman G 1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6 1 6.0 118.0 0 0 100.0 0.18 113.6 0
Gianna Smith Gianna Smith G 2 10.0 1.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 18 2 9.0 39.5 16.7 16.7 0 0.78 25.0 25.0
Maryn Archer Maryn Archer G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Emilie Borges-Michaelsen Emilie Borges-Michaelsen F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kyla Hollier Kyla Hollier F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Elsie Larsen Elsie Larsen G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Anna Wikstrom Anna Wikstrom G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6 1 6.0 75.8 0 0 0 -1.19 0 0
Olivia Pawlicki Olivia Pawlicki F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -3 1 -3.0 -66.1 0.0 0.0 0 -1.82 0.0 0.0
Allie Roden Allie Roden G 2 8.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 1 2 0.5 2.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.25 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

109 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Froebe57% Runner38% Runner67% Runner100% Murphy40% Kramer50% Sene40% Runner50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Froebe62% Runner32% Kramer100% Froebe100% Kramer29% Kramer33% Kramer27% Runner20% Murphy33%
Misses: who misses most here

Camryn RunnerMcKenna MurphyKloe FroebeCaitlin KramerSophie Sene

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 14-22 63.6 28 Kloe Froebe 57% (16 pts) Heidur Karlsdottir 14% (4 pts) Kloe Froebe 62% (5 misses) Sophie Sene 25% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 8-27 29.6 16 Camryn Runner 38% (6 pts) McKenna Murphy 25% (4 pts) Camryn Runner 32% (6 misses) Kloe Froebe 26% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 3-4 75.0 6 Camryn Runner 67% (4 pts) McKenna Murphy 33% (2 pts) Caitlin Kramer 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 2-3 66.7 4 Camryn Runner 100% (4 pts) - Kloe Froebe 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 5-12 41.7 10 McKenna Murphy 40% (4 pts) Camryn Runner 20% (2 pts) Caitlin Kramer 29% (2 misses) Camryn Runner 29% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 0-3 0.0 0 - - Caitlin Kramer 33% (1 misses) Olivia Pawlicki 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 left 6-17 35.3 18 Caitlin Kramer 50% (9 pts) Camryn Runner 33% (6 pts) Caitlin Kramer 27% (3 misses) Gianna Smith 27% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 5-10 50.0 15 Sophie Sene 40% (6 pts) Caitlin Kramer 20% (3 pts) Camryn Runner 20% (1 misses) Gianna Smith 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 2-11 18.2 6 Camryn Runner 50% (3 pts) McKenna Murphy 50% (3 pts) McKenna Murphy 33% (3 misses) Sophie Sene 22% (2 misses)