Wyoming Cowgirls
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 864 (#249) | Preseason prior 840 (returning production + recruiting): last season 984, returning -75, transfers -70, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 874 (#273) | HCA +179 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 924 (#283) | HCA +178 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -16.5 (#322) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -16.3 (#322) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.092 (#294) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.218 (#306) | AdjNet -16.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.208 (#305) | AdjNet -16.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.231 (#327) | AdjO 52.2 | AdjD 67.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.253 (#332) | AdjO 52.2 | AdjD 67.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.235 (#310) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.240 (#312) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 877 (#261) | RD 180 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.192 (#282) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Santa Clara Broncos | L | 50 - 84 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Missouri State Lady Bears | L | 37 - 72 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | UT Arlington Mavericks | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Colorado State Rams | W | 58 - 55 |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Norah Clark
|
F | 4 | 31.0 | 19.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 14.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | - | 41.1 | 33.3 | 84.4 | - | 55.7 | 45.5 |
Kati Ollilainen
|
G | 4 | 31.2 | 9.8 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 7.8 | 7.0 | -32 | 3 | -10.7 | -15.0 | 41.9 | 62.5 | 72.7 | -0.79 | 54.4 | 50.0 |
Payton Muma
|
G | 3 | 25.0 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 47.1 | 36.4 | 50.0 | 0.15 | 58.6 | 58.8 |
Ophelia Powell
|
G | 3 | 15.3 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 4.3 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 100.0 | 55.6 | - | 50.1 | 45.0 |
Taylor Donaldson
|
G | 4 | 26.5 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 1.5 | -27 | 3 | -9.0 | -15.4 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.38 | 38.8 | 38.1 |
Peyton Wohlford
|
F | 4 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -11.9 | 28.6 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -1.77 | 43.7 | 42.9 |
Liv Blomkvist
|
F | 4 | 24.0 | 2.5 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 5.8 | -31 | 3 | -10.3 | -20.1 | 29.4 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.92 | 29.4 | 29.4 |
Zoey Blackwell
|
G | 3 | 9.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -21 | 3 | -7.0 | -29.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.41 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
Hayley Johnson
|
F | 4 | 10.5 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3.8 | -7 | 3 | -2.3 | -7.0 | 60.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.5 | 66.6 | 60.0 |
Karly Davis
|
G | 3 | 9.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | -0.7 | -17 | 3 | -5.7 | -25.9 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -2.1 | 29.1 | 16.7 |
Merceius Mili
|
G | 3 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 51.5 | 50.0 |
Katie Harrington
|
G | 3 | 12.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -31 | 2 | -15.5 | -39.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -2.83 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Jersey Berg
|
G | 3 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | -0.3 | -41 | 3 | -13.7 | -44.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -4.97 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Kaylan Deveney
|
C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jane Rumpf
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
199 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Norah ClarkKati OllilainenTaylor DonaldsonMerceius MiliKarly DavisJersey Berg
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 20-40 | 50.0 | 40 | Norah Clark 45% (18 pts) | Liv Blomkvist 20% (8 pts) | Kati Ollilainen 35% (7 misses) | Liv Blomkvist 25% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 11-47 | 23.4 | 22 | Norah Clark 36% (8 pts) | Hayley Johnson 18% (4 pts) | Norah Clark 50% (18 misses) | Kati Ollilainen 14% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 6-17 | 35.3 | 12 | Norah Clark 33% (4 pts) | Kati Ollilainen 17% (2 pts) | Jersey Berg 36% (4 misses) | Liv Blomkvist 27% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-6 | 50.0 | 6 | Kati Ollilainen 33% (2 pts) | Norah Clark 33% (2 pts) | Kati Ollilainen 33% (1 misses) | Ophelia Powell 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 10-20 | 50.0 | 20 | Norah Clark 30% (6 pts) | Kati Ollilainen 20% (4 pts) | Norah Clark 30% (3 misses) | Jersey Berg 10% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-7 | 28.6 | 6 | Merceius Mili 50% (3 pts) | Peyton Wohlford 50% (3 pts) | Norah Clark 40% (2 misses) | Payton Muma 40% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Norah Clark 100% (3 pts) | - | Karly Davis 33% (1 misses) | Norah Clark 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-24 | 37.5 | 27 | Kati Ollilainen 33% (9 pts) | Payton Muma 22% (6 pts) | Taylor Donaldson 27% (4 misses) | Peyton Wohlford 20% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-12 | 33.3 | 12 | Kati Ollilainen 50% (6 pts) | Peyton Wohlford 25% (3 pts) | Norah Clark 38% (3 misses) | Peyton Wohlford 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-22 | 27.3 | 18 | Norah Clark 33% (6 pts) | Payton Muma 33% (6 pts) | Taylor Donaldson 31% (5 misses) | Norah Clark 19% (3 misses) |