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Wright State

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Wright State Raiders
Program History
Coach: Kari Hoffman

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

75.3
PPG
69.0
Opp
+6.3
Margin
46.8%
FG%
36.7%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
39.3
RPG
14.3
APG
19.0
TO
73.5
Est. poss./game
62.0
Adj PPG
72.8
Adj Opp PPG
#306
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 815 (returning production + recruiting): last season 915, returning -43, transfers -57, freshmen +0 More → 803 (#290) Preseason prior 815 (returning production + recruiting): last season 915, returning -43, transfers -57, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +190 elo More → 860 (#283) HCA +190 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +189 elo More → 924 (#290) HCA +189 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More → -14.1 (#304) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.8 More → -13.8 (#305) HCA +3.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.074 (#307) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.5 More → 0.208 (#314) AdjNet -20.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.6 More → 0.201 (#314) AdjNet -20.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.267 (#306) AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 72.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 72.9 More → 0.299 (#311) AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 72.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.230 (#307) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.235 (#307) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 201 | GP 2 More → 839 (#292) RD 201 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.167 (#297) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 71 - 73
2026-11-06 vs Ohio Christian Trailblazers W 103 - 25
2026-11-08 @ Michigan Wolverines L 52 - 109
2026-11-13 @ Indiana State Sycamores - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jayden Terry Jayden Terry G 3 26.7 16.7 4.0 1.7 4.0 0.0 3.7 10.3 12.3 -15 3 -5.0 -7.5 54.8 33.3 77.8 -3.13 64.2 58.1
Rylee Sagester Rylee Sagester G 3 31.7 13.0 2.7 2.0 0.7 0.3 1.3 9.0 8.3 -25 3 -8.3 -10.7 48.1 42.9 87.5 -3.81 63.9 59.3
Allie Daniels Allie Daniels F 3 25.3 10.7 4.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.3 7.0 8.3 20 3 6.7 10.5 66.7 50.0 33.3 2.01 71.7 73.8
Megan Campbell Megan Campbell ATH 2 22.5 10.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 8.5 10.0 44 2 22.0 38.6 41.2 46.2 0 3.12 58.8 58.8
Elaina Rager Elaina Rager G 1 16.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 19 1 19.0 46.9 33.3 0.0 100.0 0.77 57.9 33.3
Grace Okih Grace Okih F 3 17.7 7.7 5.7 0.3 0.7 0.0 3.7 5.0 5.7 -25 3 -8.3 -18.8 60.0 0 71.4 -1.38 63.6 60.0
Maja Dilen Maja Dilen G 3 25.0 7.3 2.7 2.0 0.7 0.3 3.0 5.0 5.0 -2 3 -0.7 -1.1 53.3 75.0 75.0 -2.32 65.6 63.3
Paula Sevilla Paula Sevilla G 2 16.0 4.5 9.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 37 2 18.5 47.8 33.3 0.0 50.0 1.95 34.9 33.3
Olivia Brown Olivia Brown G 3 30.7 4.3 4.0 5.3 1.3 0.3 3.3 5.0 7.0 - - - - 26.7 0.0 50.0 - 33.5 26.7
Sydney Williams Sydney Williams G 2 18.0 4.0 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 7.0 1.0 21 2 10.5 23.2 21.4 18.2 0 0.01 28.6 28.6
Jasmine Fearne Jasmine Fearne G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Megan Ganschow Megan Ganschow F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Rowan Klesmit Rowan Klesmit G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Abbie Riddle Abbie Riddle G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

173 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Terry29% Okih36% Sagester100% Daniels100% Terry100% Daniels25% Dilen50% Campbell43% Sagester50% Campbell40%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Terry32% Dilen20% Daniels33% Dilen100% Williams80% Daniels33% Williams31% Campbell80% Sagester42%
Misses: who misses most here

Jayden TerryRylee SagesterAllie DanielsMegan CampbellMaja DilenGrace OkihSydney Williams

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 45-70 64.3 90 Jayden Terry 29% (26 pts) Allie Daniels 20% (18 pts) Jayden Terry 32% (8 misses) Olivia Brown 20% (5 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 11-36 30.6 22 Grace Okih 36% (8 pts) Maja Dilen 18% (4 pts) Maja Dilen 20% (5 misses) Grace Okih 16% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 1-1 100.0 2 Rylee Sagester 100% (2 pts) - - -
Mid-range center 1-4 25.0 2 Allie Daniels 100% (2 pts) - Allie Daniels 33% (1 misses) Rylee Sagester 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-2 50.0 2 Jayden Terry 100% (2 pts) - Maja Dilen 100% (1 misses) -
Left corner 3 4-9 44.4 12 Allie Daniels 25% (3 pts) Jayden Terry 25% (3 pts) Sydney Williams 80% (4 misses) Elaina Rager 20% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-5 40.0 6 Maja Dilen 50% (3 pts) Rylee Sagester 50% (3 pts) Allie Daniels 33% (1 misses) Olivia Brown 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 7-20 35.0 21 Megan Campbell 43% (9 pts) Allie Daniels 14% (3 pts) Sydney Williams 31% (4 misses) Jayden Terry 15% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 4-9 44.4 12 Rylee Sagester 50% (6 pts) Allie Daniels 25% (3 pts) Megan Campbell 80% (4 misses) Rylee Sagester 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-17 29.4 15 Megan Campbell 40% (6 pts) Maja Dilen 20% (3 pts) Rylee Sagester 42% (5 misses) Jayden Terry 17% (2 misses)