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Air Force

Also known as: Air Force Falcons, Air Force
Program History

2024 Team Stats (31 games)

66.2
PPG
72.4
Opp
-6.2
Margin
45.3%
FG%
36.1%
3P%
68.2%
FT%
28.1
RPG
14.5
APG
12.0
TO
70.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 780 (#595) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 894 (#561) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +14.8 (#302) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.153 (#112) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -9.7 More → 0.263 (#305) NetEff -9.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.7 More → 0.141 (#103) AdjNet -15.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.7 More → 0.139 (#103) AdjNet -15.7

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-06 vs Portland State Vikings L 55 - 62
2023-11-10 @ Long Island University Sharks W 82 - 67
2023-11-12 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 57 - 65
2023-11-16 vs Lindenwood Lions W 76 - 58
2023-11-17 vs William & Mary Tribe W 80 - 71
2023-11-19 vs Omaha Mavericks W 58 - 56
2023-11-22 vs VMI Keydets W 64 - 54
2023-11-26 @ South Dakota Coyotes W 58 - 57
2023-12-03 @ Portland Pilots W 80 - 58
2023-12-09 vs Eastern Washington Eagles L 68 - 73
2023-12-16 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 73 - 76
2023-12-21 vs Northern Colorado Bears L 79 - 83
2024-01-02 vs Utah State Aggies L 60 - 88
2024-01-09 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 54 - 67
2024-01-13 vs San José State Spartans L 67 - 70
2024-01-16 @ Colorado State Rams L 69 - 78
2024-01-20 vs New Mexico Lobos L 66 - 85
2024-01-23 @ UNLV Rebels W 90 - 58
2024-01-27 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 70 - 84
2024-01-30 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 72 - 83
2024-02-03 @ Boise State Broncos L 56 - 94
2024-02-06 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 64 - 77
2024-02-10 vs Fresno State Bulldogs L 66 - 68
2024-02-13 @ San José State Spartans L 66 - 73
2024-02-21 vs UNLV Rebels L 43 - 72
2024-02-24 @ New Mexico Lobos W 78 - 77
2024-02-27 vs Boise State Broncos L 48 - 79
2024-03-01 @ Utah State Aggies L 60 - 72
2024-03-05 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 63 - 74
2024-03-09 vs Colorado State Rams L 73 - 82
2024-03-13 @ New Mexico Lobos L 56 - 82

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Petraitis R. Petraitis - 24 32.8 15.7 6.3 3.7 1.6 0.9 2.5 10.9 14.8 -96 -13.7 -18.1 48.5 34.9 65.8 -0.84 57.2 52.7
Beau Becker Beau Becker - 31 30.0 13.8 4.4 1.5 0.5 0.8 1.0 11.0 8.8 -74 -10.6 -17.4 48.5 39.6 71.0 -0.69 60.2 59.4
Ethan Taylor Ethan Taylor - 31 36.8 13.5 4.0 2.7 1.2 0.4 1.9 12.0 7.8 -75 -10.7 -14.9 37.8 35.7 81.5 -0.6 52.2 49.1
Jeffrey Mills Jeffrey Mills - 28 33.7 9.1 2.6 3.0 1.3 0.2 1.1 7.2 7.9 -29 -7.2 -16.9 48.5 38.8 56.4 -0.1 58.4 57.9
K. Boylan K. Boylan - 30 32.0 7.2 5.0 2.1 1.3 0.7 1.8 4.8 9.8 -98 -14.0 -21.8 48.3 41.9 73.2 -1.0 62.0 57.3
Byron Brown Byron Brown - 31 20.2 5.1 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.4 1.1 3.6 4.1 -65 -9.3 -17.4 51.4 32.4 66.0 -0.65 59.4 56.3
L. Kearney L. Kearney - 21 10.2 3.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.5 3.5 1.5 -58 -8.3 -22.6 38.4 29.8 84.6 -0.56 51.4 47.9
C. Green C. Green - 12 11.8 2.7 2.8 1.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 2.2 5.0 - - - 40.7 0.0 71.4 - 48.3 40.7
W. Celichowski W. Celichowski - 10 8.1 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.1 1.6 1.7 -30 -4.3 -20.2 56.2 16.7 0.0 -0.22 54.8 59.4
Chase Beasley Chase Beasley - 26 12.4 1.8 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.2 1.2 1.5 2.0 -8 -2.7 -23.0 37.5 15.4 63.6 -0.09 46.3 40.0
K. Gilles K. Gilles - 16 5.4 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.9 -2 -1.0 -11.1 40.0 25.0 41.7 -0.03 44.4 43.3
B. Ruggles B. Ruggles - 10 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 66.7 0.0 75.8 0
J. Heidbreder J. Heidbreder G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
J. Rayford J. Rayford G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
M. McCreary M. McCreary G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 57 4.8 121.1 - - - -0.03 - -
J. Gatete J. Gatete F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
C. Walker C. Walker - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -0.3 -2.2 0 0 0 -0.12 0 0
Wyatt Boeker Wyatt Boeker - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG