Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +13 (67-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Taylor * | 39 | 5-16 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Mills * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Petraitis * | 33 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | - |
| B. Becker * | 32 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Boylan * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - |
| B. Brown | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Kearney | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Beasley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4431765 * | 35 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| N. Davidson * | 31 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| T. Coleman * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| K. Blackshear * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 7-11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| K.J. Hymes * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Foster | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| H. McIntosh | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Pope | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Rolison | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter