Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✗ (25.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -22 (58-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mills * | 36 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| E. Taylor * | 35 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Boylan * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| B. Becker * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Beasley * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| R. Petraitis | 22 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| B. Brown | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Green | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Gilles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Ruggles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Kearney | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Robertson * | 35 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Harris * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C. Austin * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| V. Masic * | 25 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| V. Vucinic * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Gorosito | 26 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| A. Koroma | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Jordan | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Dengdit | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Lemke | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter