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2023-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 18.3% 81.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (25.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Log Adjusted 60.6% 39.4% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -22 (58-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mills * 36 5-7 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 10 8 -
E. Taylor * 35 6-10 4-6 0-0 4 3 2 0 3 16 12 -
K. Boylan * 34 5-10 2-5 3-3 6 3 5 2 3 15 18 -
B. Becker * 28 5-11 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 11 6 -
C. Beasley * 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 1 7 -
R. Petraitis 22 8-12 1-3 3-5 5 2 3 1 2 20 17 -
B. Brown 17 1-2 1-2 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 4 8 -
C. Green 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 2 4 -
K. Gilles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Ruggles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Kearney 1 0-2 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Robertson * 35 4-6 4-5 2-2 2 5 1 0 5 14 11 -
T. Harris * 34 3-8 1-3 2-5 9 0 2 2 3 9 11 -
C. Austin * 29 6-11 0-2 3-4 2 3 2 0 1 15 10 -
V. Masic * 25 5-8 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 11 4 -
V. Vucinic * 14 1-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
J. Gorosito 26 1-8 1-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 3 -2 -
A. Koroma 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 4 2 -
N. Jordan 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Dengdit 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Lemke 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter