Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.8% | 3.2% | -18.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -13 (64-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Trammell * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| R. Waters * | 27 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Parrish * | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. LeDee * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| L. Butler * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Pal | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| M. Byrd | 13 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| E. Saunders | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Heide | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| BJ Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Johnson Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Alger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Schwarz | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Brown * | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Mills * | 35 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| E. Taylor * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Petraitis * | 30 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. Becker * | 29 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| L. Kearney | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Beasley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Gilles | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Boylan | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| W. Celichowski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Ruggles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter