🐻⬇️🏀

UT Martin Skyhawks 8-22
@
2021-12-21
Kent State Golden Flashes 23-11

Model Predictions

Model UT Martin Skyhawks Kent State G... Spread Projected
Elo
2021-22 season-end ratings
 2.9% (#338) 97.1% (#63) Kent St... -24.7 59-84
Bradley-Terry
2021-22 season-end ratings
 9.6% (#335) 90.4% (#109) - -
Margin
2021-22 season-end ratings
 10.1% (#302) 89.9% (#159) Kent St... -12.0 -
Pythagorean
2021-22 season-end ratings
 22.4% (#316) 77.6% (#111) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2021-22 season-end ratings
 6.4% (#301) 93.6% (#159) - -
Log Adjusted
2021-22 season-end ratings
 6.5% (#303) 93.5% (#160) - -
Points Off/Def
2021-22 season-end ratings
 24.4% (#300) 75.6% (#156) - -

2021-22 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.5 points per 100 Elo plus a 1.9-point home edge (2020-21 margin fit); projected score: 2020-21's average total of 142 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat UT Martin Skyhawks Kent State G...
Games 28 34
PPG 69.8 71.3
FG% 41.9% 44.1%
3PT% 30.9% 33.3%
FT% 70.7% 74.6%
RPG 37.2 35.9
APG 12.0 12.4
SPG 6.6 7.1
BPG 4.5 3.4
TOPG 13.0 12.2

Efficiency Ratings

Metric UT Martin Skyhawks Kent State G...
Adj. Off Eff 92.9 100.4
Adj. Def Eff 107.1 99.6
Adj. Net Eff -14.2 0.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

UT Martin Skyhawks Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
KJ Simon 17.2 5.0 1.8 1.6 1.3 30.9
Koby Jeffries 6.4 3.2 2.9 1.4 0.3 30.9
Mikel Henderson 8.0 1.9 2.1 0.8 0.1 26.3
Bernie Andre 10.2 6.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 24.8
KK Curry 9.8 5.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 23.2

Kent State Golden Flashes Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Sincere Carry 17.9 4.5 4.8 1.4 0.2 36.6
Malique Jacobs 12.8 7.5 3.2 1.5 0.8 34.0
Giovanni Santiago 8.6 2.4 2.0 1.2 0.1 28.0
Justyn Hamilton 8.6 6.5 0.6 0.7 1.3 25.7
Andrew Garcia 8.7 3.9 0.5 1.1 0.4 21.4