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UT Martin

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

85.0
PPG
74.2
Opp
+10.8
Margin
47.6%
FG%
33.6%
3P%
63.7%
FT%
46.3
RPG
17.8
APG
17.0
TO
75.5
Est. poss./game
78.2
Adj PPG
71.4
Adj Opp PPG
#146
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 772 (returning production + recruiting): last season 935, returning -41, transfers -75, freshmen -48 More โ†’ 821 (#264) Preseason prior 772 (returning production + recruiting): last season 935, returning -41, transfers -75, freshmen -48
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +206 elo More โ†’ 906 (#266) HCA +206 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +205 elo More โ†’ 910 (#266) HCA +205 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -0.2 (#159) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -0.1 (#158) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.428 (#167) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.1 More โ†’ 0.461 (#171) AdjNet +4.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.9 More โ†’ 0.459 (#177) AdjNet +3.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 71.4 More โ†’ 0.512 (#146) AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 71.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 71.3 More โ†’ 0.514 (#146) AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 71.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.449 (#179) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.450 (#178) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 183 | GP 3 More โ†’ 883 (#273) RD 183 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.347 (#256) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Tulane Green Wave L 98 - 100
2026-11-07 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars L 74 - 75
2026-11-10 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves W 82 - 65
2026-11-13 vs Champion Christian Tigers W 86 - 57
2026-11-15 vs Ecclesia Royals - Preview
2026-11-20 @ Southern Illinois Salukis - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Davi Remagen Davi Remagen G 4 26.8 20.8 3.2 3.2 0.8 0.2 3.0 13.2 12.0 10 2 5.0 7.5 52.8 41.7 77.3 0.54 66.2 62.3
Kaan Onat Kaan Onat G 4 25.5 12.2 6.2 3.0 1.0 0.2 4.8 8.5 9.5 -1 2 -0.5 -0.6 41.2 23.1 72.0 -0.54 54.4 45.6
Sasha Savkov Sasha Savkov G 4 26.0 10.5 7.8 2.5 0.8 0.5 1.0 8.2 12.8 -17 2 -8.5 -12.7 45.5 37.0 66.7 -1.37 61.2 60.6
Gabrielius Bubnys Gabrielius Bubnys F 1 13.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 - - - - 66.7 33.3 100.0 - 77.6 75.0
Nikola Janicic Nikola Janicic G 4 17.2 7.2 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 6.5 4.2 -8 2 -4.0 -11.6 46.2 25.0 33.3 -0.51 53.1 53.8
Vladimir Khryapa Vladimir Khryapa F 3 19.7 7.0 3.0 0.7 1.0 0.3 1.0 4.3 6.7 -11 2 -5.5 -10.7 53.8 50.0 44.4 -1.37 61.9 65.4
Ousseynou Sambe Ousseynou Sambe F 4 14.0 6.8 4.2 0.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 5.2 6.8 -1 2 -0.5 -1.8 57.1 0.0 60.0 -0.13 58.2 57.1
Armandas Bancevicius Armandas Bancevicius F 4 16.5 5.5 3.0 1.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 5.2 4.5 6 2 3.0 7.0 38.1 30.8 50.0 -0.03 48.3 47.6
Nikas Stuknys Nikas Stuknys G 4 21.8 4.8 3.0 2.8 1.2 0.0 2.8 2.8 6.2 6 2 3.0 6.2 72.7 100.0 50.0 -0.13 80.0 81.8
Arminas Vilkas Arminas Vilkas F 4 24.8 4.5 5.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 4.5 5.5 4 2 2.0 2.8 44.4 0.0 25.0 -0.33 41.8 44.4
Filip Petkovski Filip Petkovski G 3 22.0 3.3 4.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 3.3 6.0 -13 2 -6.5 -9.3 20.0 28.6 80.0 -1.79 41.0 30.0
Enrique Moya Enrique Moya G 2 3.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 - - - - 33.3 33.3 66.7 - 57.9 50.0
Reid Conley Reid Conley G 2 7.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 - - - - 40.0 0.0 100.0 - 46.0 40.0
Mai Hong Mai Hong G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Giorgi Sulaberidze Giorgi Sulaberidze F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

254 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Sambe24% Remagen37% Remagen50% Onat33% Onat25% Petkovski25% Remagen44% Savkov100% Savkov36%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Bancevicius18% Onat28% Remagen50% Remagen100% Remagen50% Bancevicius29% Savkov31% Janicic24% Onat29% Bancevicius22%
Misses: who misses most here

Davi RemagenSasha SavkovKaan OnatNikola JanicicOusseynou SambeArmandas BanceviciusFilip Petkovski

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 46-57 80.7 92 Ousseynou Sambe 24% (22 pts) Arminas Vilkas 15% (14 pts) Armandas Bancevicius 18% (2 misses) Filip Petkovski 18% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 30-62 48.4 60 Davi Remagen 37% (22 pts) Nikas Stuknys 13% (8 pts) Kaan Onat 28% (9 misses) Arminas Vilkas 22% (7 misses)
Mid-range left 2-4 50.0 4 Davi Remagen 50% (2 pts) Kaan Onat 50% (2 pts) Davi Remagen 50% (1 misses) Sasha Savkov 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-1 0.0 0 - - Davi Remagen 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 3-11 27.3 6 Kaan Onat 33% (2 pts) Nikas Stuknys 33% (2 pts) Davi Remagen 50% (4 misses) Kaan Onat 12% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 8-15 53.3 24 Kaan Onat 25% (6 pts) Sasha Savkov 25% (6 pts) Armandas Bancevicius 29% (2 misses) Davi Remagen 29% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 4-17 23.5 12 Filip Petkovski 25% (3 pts) Kaan Onat 25% (3 pts) Sasha Savkov 31% (4 misses) Davi Remagen 15% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 16-41 39.0 48 Davi Remagen 44% (21 pts) Armandas Bancevicius 19% (9 pts) Nikola Janicic 24% (6 misses) Davi Remagen 20% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-8 12.5 3 Sasha Savkov 100% (3 pts) - Kaan Onat 29% (2 misses) Sasha Savkov 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 11-38 28.9 33 Sasha Savkov 36% (12 pts) Davi Remagen 18% (6 pts) Armandas Bancevicius 22% (6 misses) Sasha Savkov 19% (5 misses)