🐻⬇️🏀

UT Martin Skyhawks 8-22
@
2021-12-18
Evansville Purple Aces 6-24

Model Predictions

Model UT Martin Skyhawks Evansville P... Spread Projected
Elo
2021-22 season-end ratings
 25.2% (#338) 74.8% (#303) Evansvi... -5.8 68-74
Bradley-Terry
2021-22 season-end ratings
 45.0% (#335) 55.0% (#338) - -
Margin
2021-22 season-end ratings
 44.1% (#302) 55.9% (#311) Evansvi... -1.3 -
Pythagorean
2021-22 season-end ratings
 64.7% (#316) 35.3% (#349) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2021-22 season-end ratings
 52.7% (#301) 47.3% (#315) - -
Log Adjusted
2021-22 season-end ratings
 53.4% (#303) 46.6% (#316) - -
Points Off/Def
2021-22 season-end ratings
 46.1% (#300) 53.9% (#316) - -

2021-22 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.5 points per 100 Elo plus a 1.9-point home edge (2020-21 margin fit); projected score: 2020-21's average total of 142 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat UT Martin Skyhawks Evansville P...
Games 28 29
PPG 69.8 59.7
FG% 41.9% 40.2%
3PT% 30.9% 33.2%
FT% 70.7% 70.7%
RPG 37.2 27.1
APG 12.0 10.6
SPG 6.6 5.9
BPG 4.5 2.1
TOPG 13.0 10.9

Efficiency Ratings

Metric UT Martin Skyhawks Evansville P...
Adj. Off Eff 92.9 92.1
Adj. Def Eff 107.1 107.9
Adj. Net Eff -14.2 -15.8

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

UT Martin Skyhawks Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
KJ Simon 17.2 5.0 1.8 1.6 1.3 30.9
Koby Jeffries 6.4 3.2 2.9 1.4 0.3 30.9
Mikel Henderson 8.0 1.9 2.1 0.8 0.1 26.3
Bernie Andre 10.2 6.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 24.8
KK Curry 9.8 5.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 23.2

Evansville Purple Aces Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jawaun Newton 12.9 5.4 1.2 0.9 0.5 32.0
Shamar Givance 13.6 4.1 4.0 1.5 0.0 31.9
Noah Frederking 7.2 4.1 1.0 1.1 0.2 31.4
Evan Kuhlman 7.2 4.0 1.7 1.1 0.4 30.2
Preston Phillips 2.3 4.1 1.0 0.6 0.5 21.7