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VCU Rams 18-13
@
2020-03-12
Massachusetts Minutemen 14-17

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams Massachusett... Spread Projected
Elo
2019-20 season-end ratings
 52.7% (#107) 47.3% (#172) VCU Rams -1.9 73-71
Bradley-Terry
2019-20 season-end ratings
 52.8% (#90) 47.2% (#154) - -
Margin
2019-20 season-end ratings
 71.1% (#66) 28.9% (#155) VCU Rams -5.0 -
Pythagorean
2019-20 season-end ratings
 61.8% (#65) 38.2% (#242) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2019-20 season-end ratings
 82.7% (#64) 17.3% (#149) - -
Log Adjusted
2019-20 season-end ratings
 82.8% (#64) 17.2% (#149) - -
Points Off/Def
2019-20 season-end ratings
 60.3% (#63) 39.7% (#159) - -

2019-20 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.8-point home edge (2018-19 margin fit); projected score: 2018-19's average total of 144 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat VCU Rams Massachusett...
Games 6 23
PPG 69.5 68.8
FG% 43.0% 41.7%
3PT% 34.8% 32.6%
FT% 66.4% 71.4%
RPG 34.0 32.7
APG 12.2 13.5
SPG 10.3 6.5
BPG 4.7 3.4
TOPG 13.8 13.3

Efficiency Ratings

Metric VCU Rams Massachusett...
Adj. Off Eff 107.0 101.0
Adj. Def Eff 93.0 99.0
Adj. Net Eff 13.9 2.0

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

VCU Rams Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Player #4278420 13.0 9.0 0.9 1.1 1.3 27.4
De'Riante Jenkins 10.8 4.1 2.1 1.9 0.3 26.8
Issac Vann 7.1 2.0 1.7 1.2 0.3 23.6
Marcus Evans 9.6 1.9 2.9 1.3 0.1 23.5
Mike'L Simms 6.2 3.1 1.0 0.7 0.2 22.9

Massachusetts Minutemen Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Carl Pierre 12.4 3.4 1.6 0.7 0.0 33.7
Tre Mitchell 17.7 7.2 1.9 1.0 1.0 30.7
Sean East II 9.1 2.4 4.9 1.1 0.0 27.9
Samba Diallo 6.5 5.9 0.9 0.9 0.2 27.1
T.J. Weeks Jr. 16.1 3.4 0.5 1.6 0.4 26.5