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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model San Diego Toreros Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% -
Bradley-Terry 9.8% 90.2% -
Margin 1.2% 98.8% +24.1 (20.9 off)
Pythagorean 13.3% 86.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 10.0% 90.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +45 (87-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Ray 32 6-19 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 6 13 -8 -26.2
H. Rhodes 24 4-9 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 3 10 1 -20.6
O. Owens 22 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 -2 -19.1
J. Rhodes 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -14.3
M. Tharpe 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -6.5
D. Moore 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -17.6
J. Ajayi 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 0 -17.6
E. Ruse 15 0-5 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -4.0
L. Amor 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -4.3
H. Holley 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -19.9
Y. Von Seipler 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -9.9
A. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.2

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Whittaker 24 3-6 1-2 0-0 13 2 3 0 3 7 16 +15.3
A. Turner 24 4-6 1-1 2-2 0 6 2 0 2 11 11 +13.6
I. Bettencourt 24 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 5 2 0 0 3 6 +22.5
J. Haile 24 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 10 13 +22.8
Z. Aokuso 22 4-9 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 9 5 +7.0
T. Gardner 21 4-7 4-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 12 10 +31.0
T. Smith 16 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 8 6 +14.3
C. Osarobo 15 3-5 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 9 8 +18.2
S. Lichtie 15 4-5 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 9 8 +13.6
P. Lofing 15 3-7 2-5 1-1 0 2 1 0 1 9 4 +15.1

* = starter