Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -11 (71-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Byrd | 33 | 7-8 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 22 | +1.7 |
| R. Dixon-Waters | 32 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +11.4 |
| M. Heide | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1.8 |
| E. Harrington | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +11.8 |
| T. DeGourville | 19 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | +1.9 |
| T. Simmons | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +17.4 |
| P. Compton | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +9.6 |
| BJ Davis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.4 |
| J. Oden | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| S. Newman Jr. | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -2.4 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hamilton | 36 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -6.9 |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 34 | 11-21 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 11 | -9.1 |
| T. Jones | 34 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-10 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | -2.3 |
| H. Fleming Jr. | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -9.4 |
| E. Stephen | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -1.9 |
| J. Bannarbie | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -7.3 |
| I. Williamson | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | -8.6 |
| A. Green | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| W. Brown | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.6 |
* = starter