2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1235 (#63) | Preseason prior 1193 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1077, returning +5, transfers +84, freshmen +27 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1132 (#67) | HCA +194 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1130 (#67) | HCA +193 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +9.4 (#80) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +9.3 (#80) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.756 (#89) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.674 (#91) | AdjNet +8.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.680 (#92) | AdjNet +8.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.591 (#102) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 74.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.589 (#102) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 74.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.693 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.693 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1186 (#56) | RD 179 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.719 (#74) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | vs | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W | 89 - 77 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Samford Bulldogs | W | 88 - 79 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Stanford Cardinal | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Kansas Jayhawks | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sebastian Mack
|
G | 3 | 33.0 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 24 | 3 | 8.0 | 9.8 | 48.9 | 31.2 | 87.5 | -0.55 | 60.5 | 54.4 |
Cam Miles
|
G | 3 | 36.3 | 17.3 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 10.3 | 12.7 | 26 | 3 | 8.7 | 9.5 | 38.7 | 47.6 | 94.7 | 0.35 | 66.1 | 54.8 |
Tyrin Jones
|
F | 3 | 33.3 | 15.0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 16.3 | 21 | 3 | 7.0 | 8.4 | 46.7 | 66.7 | 68.2 | -0.25 | 56.7 | 50.0 |
Dontrez Williams
|
G | 3 | 25.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 7.3 | - | - | - | - | 70.6 | 0.0 | 57.1 | - | 69.7 | 70.6 |
Jeremy Foumena
|
C | 3 | 16.7 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 13 | 3 | 4.3 | 10.6 | 64.3 | - | 33.3 | -0.93 | 62.0 | 64.3 |
Jackson Kiss
|
F | 3 | 20.0 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 8.3 | 12 | 3 | 4.0 | 7.9 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 77.8 | 0.21 | 68.1 | 60.0 |
Issac Williamson
|
G | 2 | 17.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 21 | 2 | 10.5 | 23.6 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 71.4 | 0.78 | 66.1 | 58.3 |
Kota Suttle Jr.
|
G | 3 | 12.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 14 | 3 | 4.7 | 14.6 | 75.0 | 66.7 | - | -0.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
MJ Thomas
|
F | 3 | 10.3 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 6 | 3 | 2.0 | 7.6 | 50.0 | - | 20.0 | 0.19 | 42.7 | 50.0 |
Terrance Ford Jr.
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -84.7 | 0.0 | - | - | -0.64 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jalen Cunningham
|
G | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Tyler Harris
|
F | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Moustapha Loum
|
F | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
AJ Storr
|
G | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former UNLV players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last UNLV game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 2015-16 | NBA | LA Clippers | 10 | 29.1 | 11.4 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 11-13 14 pts, 5 reb, 0 ast | 10 GP, 11.4 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 1.3 APG |
| Caleb Grill | 2020-21 | G League | Maine Celtics | 4 Tip-Off Tournament | 19.5 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 11-14 6 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast Tip-Off Tournament | 4 GP, 5.8 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 1.0 APG |
| Keylan Boone | 2023-24 | G League | Rip City Remix | 3 Tip-Off Tournament | 9.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 11-13 3 pts, 4 reb, 1 ast Tip-Off Tournament | 3 GP, 1.7 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 0.3 APG |
| David Muoka | 2021-23 | G League | Stockton Kings | 3 Tip-Off Tournament | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 11-13 2 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast Tip-Off Tournament | 3 GP, 1.3 PPG, 0.7 RPG, 0.0 APG |
| Moses Wood | 2020-21 | EuroCup | Le Mans Sarthe Basket | 7 | 23.4 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 11-11 13 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast | 4 GP, 10.5 PPG, 2.2 RPG, 1.0 APG |
| Khem Birch | 2012-14 | EuroCup | Aris Thessaloniki | 7 | 14.4 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 11-11 2 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast | 4 GP, 4.2 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 0.5 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
2026-2027 Shot Zones
164 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Sebastian MackCam MilesTyrin JonesDontrez Williams
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 35-46 | 76.1 | 70 | Dontrez Williams 23% (16 pts) | Jeremy Foumena 23% (16 pts) | Tyrin Jones 36% (4 misses) | Jeremy Foumena 18% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 25-62 | 40.3 | 50 | Sebastian Mack 36% (18 pts) | Tyrin Jones 24% (12 pts) | Tyrin Jones 30% (11 misses) | Sebastian Mack 24% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-1 | 100.0 | 2 | Tyrin Jones 100% (2 pts) | - | - | - |
| Mid-range center | 2-3 | 66.7 | 4 | Sebastian Mack 100% (4 pts) | - | Sebastian Mack 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 1-4 | 25.0 | 2 | Sebastian Mack 100% (2 pts) | - | Cam Miles 67% (2 misses) | Sebastian Mack 33% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-2 | 50.0 | 3 | Sebastian Mack 100% (3 pts) | - | Sebastian Mack 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Cam Miles 50% (1 misses) | Jackson Kiss 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-16 | 50.0 | 24 | Cam Miles 62% (15 pts) | Sebastian Mack 25% (6 pts) | Sebastian Mack 62% (5 misses) | Cam Miles 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-8 | 25.0 | 6 | Cam Miles 100% (6 pts) | - | Cam Miles 67% (4 misses) | Sebastian Mack 33% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-20 | 45.0 | 27 | Cam Miles 33% (9 pts) | Kota Suttle Jr. 22% (6 pts) | Cam Miles 36% (4 misses) | Sebastian Mack 27% (3 misses) |
UNLV