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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Florida Atlantic Owls Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 5.5% 94.5% -
Bradley-Terry 10.6% 89.4% -
Margin 2.5% 97.5% +20.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% -
Efficiency 37.1% 62.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 13.5% 86.5% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +17 (86-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Atlantic Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Miller 29 5-10 0-3 2-2 7 2 0 2 0 12 13 -11.7
N. Moretti 29 1-6 0-1 1-2 2 7 3 0 1 3 8 -4.0
T. Carroll 28 10-15 2-3 2-2 8 1 0 1 2 24 17 -8.2
L. Walker 25 4-10 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 8 3 -8.6
K. Evans Jr. 25 1-5 0-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 3 -9.8
K. Glenn 23 2-9 0-5 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 6 -1 +10.4
K. Tandy 17 2-7 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 1 -16.7
D. Vanterpool 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 +1.1
M. Vokietaitis 11 2-4 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 0 2 8 7 +6.6

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Akins 25 6-13 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 13 6 +14.3
J. Richardson 24 3-6 2-2 1-2 6 3 1 0 1 9 12 +0.7
C. Carr 23 7-9 1-1 2-2 8 0 1 1 0 17 18 +1.0
J. Fears Jr. 23 4-9 1-1 4-6 1 8 0 1 1 13 13 +10.4
J. Kohler 22 2-9 0-1 2-2 12 1 0 1 2 6 9 +6.5
T. Holloman 22 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 6 7 +0.9
F. Fidler 17 2-5 0-2 6-6 1 1 0 0 0 10 7 +10.7
S. Zapala 16 2-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 1 5 8 +4.3
X. Booker 16 1-7 0-5 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1.5
C. Cooper 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 2 2 2 1 -0.9
K. Teng 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +2.7
G. Normand 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 +3.8
N. Sanders 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter