Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals -14 (56-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Welling | 31 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 23 | +13.8 |
| T. Leonhardt | 31 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | +10.5 |
| D. Nelson | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | +10.4 |
| J. Holcombe | 28 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +19.6 |
| C. Wells | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +8.5 |
| T. Toolson | 18 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +4.9 |
| O. Grady | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -4.6 |
| K. Green | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +10.7 |
| H. Welling | 9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -6.1 |
| N. Taitz | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.2 |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. O'Neil | 38 | 7-17 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | -11.8 |
| I. Griffin | 31 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -6.5 |
| AJ Burgin | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -9.2 |
| J. Greene | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -9.7 |
| C. Hollenbeck | 26 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -5.7 |
| E. Otten | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -10.9 |
| Q. Meza | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +0.5 |
| J. Brown | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.7 |
| B. Daberkow | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
| J. Madimba | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
* = starter