Utah Valley
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
92.5
PPG
78.0
Opp
+14.5
Margin
54.1%
FG%
52.6%
3P%
67.3%
FT%
35.0
RPG
23.0
APG
15.5
TO
79.3
Est. poss./game
80.1
Adj PPG
79.4
Adj Opp PPG
#127
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1048 (#117) | Preseason prior 1035 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1089, returning +29, transfers -53, freshmen -30 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1049 (#115) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1048 (#115) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.4 (#193) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.4 (#193) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.587 (#128) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.508 (#142) | AdjNet -4.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.505 (#145) | AdjNet -5.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.543 (#127) | AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 79.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.543 (#127) | AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 79.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.526 (#138) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.526 (#138) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1050 (#124) | RD 217 | GP 1 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.541 (#132) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Western Colorado Mountaineers | W | 84 - 63 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | Weber State Wildcats | W | 101 - 93 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Nevada Wolf Pack | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | East Carolina Pirates | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dominick Nelson
|
G | 2 | 25.5 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 13.5 | 6 | 1 | 6.0 | 8.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 0.03 | 54.4 | 50.0 |
Tyler Weaver
|
F | 2 | 17.0 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 11.0 | 10 | 1 | 10.0 | 21.7 | 66.7 | 70.0 | 100.0 | -0.27 | 91.3 | 90.0 |
Isaac Davis
|
F | 2 | 27.0 | 13.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 10.5 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 55.0 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0.29 | 59.6 | 57.5 |
Braden Housley
|
G | 2 | 25.0 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 13.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -8.7 | 53.3 | 40.0 | 83.3 | -1.02 | 65.2 | 60.0 |
Isaac Hawkins
|
F | 2 | 20.0 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 13 | 1 | 13.0 | 21.5 | 64.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.13 | 70.6 | 67.9 |
Jordy Barnes
|
G | 2 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 11.5 | 16 | 1 | 16.0 | 22.7 | 50.0 | 54.5 | 0 | 0.07 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Deng Deng
|
F | 2 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.5 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -15.1 | 75.0 | 0 | 80.0 | -0.69 | 80.6 | 75.0 |
AJ Dixon
|
G | 2 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.19 | 62.5 | 60.0 |
Sherman Weatherspoon IV
|
G | 2 | 13.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -10.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.3 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
Tanner Davis
|
G | 2 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.73 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
Jaxson Roberts
|
G | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Modestas Babraitis
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Tyler Medaris
|
F | 2 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Omar Mowafak
|
F | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Sebastian Muchitsch
|
G | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Jovan Nekic
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Utah Valley players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Utah Valley game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Hendricks | 2025-26 | NBA | Memphis Grizzlies | 7 | 9.0 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 11-13 10 pts, 12 reb, 2 ast | 7 GP, 5.1 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 0.4 APG |
| Caleb Stone-Carrawell | 2023-24 | G League | Raptors 905 | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-12 12 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast Play-In | 4 GP, 7.5 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 1.2 APG |
| Justin Harmon | 2021-23 | G League | Salt Lake City Stars | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-11 15 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast Play-In | 3 GP, 9.7 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 2.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Tyler Hendricks | NBA | Memphis Grizzlies | @ New Orleans Pelicans | 19 | 10 | 12 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Caleb Stone-Carrawell | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | vs Greensboro Swarm | 33 | 12 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Tyler Hendricks | NBA | Memphis Grizzlies | vs Denver Nuggets | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Justin Harmon | G League Play-In | Salt Lake City Stars | vs Rip City Remix | 31 | 15 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Caleb Stone-Carrawell | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | vs Greensboro Swarm | 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Justin Harmon | G League Play-In | Salt Lake City Stars | vs Rip City Remix | 28 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Tyler Hendricks | NBA | Memphis Grizzlies | @ Toronto Raptors | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Caleb Stone-Carrawell | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | @ College Park Skyhawks | 17 | 10 | 0 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Justin Harmon | G League Play-In | Salt Lake City Stars | @ South Bay Lakers | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
122 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Tyler WeaverIsaac DavisDominick NelsonBraden HousleyJordy BarnesSherman Weatherspoon IVTanner Davis
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 21-33 | 63.6 | 42 | Dominick Nelson 24% (10 pts) | Isaac Davis 24% (10 pts) | Dominick Nelson 25% (3 misses) | Isaac Hawkins 25% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 23-42 | 54.8 | 46 | Isaac Davis 22% (10 pts) | Braden Housley 17% (8 pts) | Braden Housley 21% (4 misses) | Isaac Davis 21% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Sherman Weatherspoon IV 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range center | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Dominick Nelson 50% (1 misses) | Isaac Davis 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Dominick Nelson 100% (4 pts) | - | Dominick Nelson 50% (2 misses) | Isaac Davis 25% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-3 | 66.7 | 6 | Tanner Davis 50% (3 pts) | Tyler Weaver 50% (3 pts) | Tyler Weaver 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 10-18 | 55.6 | 30 | Tyler Weaver 50% (15 pts) | Braden Housley 20% (6 pts) | Dominick Nelson 38% (3 misses) | Braden Housley 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-13 | 30.8 | 12 | Isaac Davis 25% (3 pts) | Isaac Hawkins 25% (3 pts) | Jordy Barnes 33% (3 misses) | Isaac Davis 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-4 | 100.0 | 12 | Jordy Barnes 75% (9 pts) | Tyler Weaver 25% (3 pts) | - | - |