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2024-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Saint Louis Billikens San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% -
Bradley-Terry 25.4% 74.6% -
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% -
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Log Adjusted 16.3% 83.7% -
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +17 (78-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Louis Billikens

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Jimerson 39 6-13 2-8 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 16 6 -15.5
R. Avila 35 6-15 1-6 0-0 4 5 1 0 5 13 3 -12.6
K. Anya 32 2-5 0-1 1-3 7 0 2 1 2 5 8 -29.6
I. Swope 31 4-10 0-4 0-1 1 4 0 0 2 8 1 -20.6
Ko. Johnson 26 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 1 -3.2
A. McCottry 21 3-5 1-2 2-3 3 1 2 0 3 9 7 +8.6
K. Thames 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 2 6 6 -4.6
K. Brockhoff 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.0

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams 34 5-11 3-5 2-3 3 5 2 0 1 15 13 +22.1
M. Thomas 30 9-14 3-4 1-2 6 0 1 0 2 22 13 +25.5
C. Linguard Jr. 28 6-14 3-10 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 15 3 +16.0
Ry. Beasley 22 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 7 11 -
T. Riley IV 21 2-6 0-1 1-2 8 1 4 1 1 5 12 +5.4
N. Newbury 21 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 4 1 1 +3.8
J. Wang 20 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 5 +5.6
Ro. Beasley 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Rivera-Torres 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -6.8
J. O'Donnell 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 +6.6

* = starter