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2024-12-07

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 13.7% 86.3% -
Bradley-Terry 25.2% 74.8% -
Margin 9.4% 90.6% +12.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% -
Log Adjusted 9.3% 90.7% -
Points Off/Def 24.5% 75.5% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +18 (83-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas Jr. 37 7-16 1-4 3-6 0 2 0 0 2 18 2 -12.8
J. Rishwain 35 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 10 9 -12.5
J. Hill 32 0-8 0-3 0-0 1 2 2 1 0 0 -2 -10.6
J. Bedford 22 8-15 3-7 1-1 3 2 3 0 3 20 10 -15.5
P. N'Diaye 21 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 5 5 -11.2
B. Hicks 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 3 0 0 4 2 +4.0
J. Bannarbie 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -14.0
J. Cherry 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 +5.5

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Neal 37 7-10 0-2 5-6 9 9 1 4 4 19 28 +17.6
S. Ashworth 34 6-10 3-7 2-2 4 8 1 0 1 17 19 +20.7
I. Traudt 28 5-8 5-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 15 13 +13.6
R. Kalkbrenner 26 4-5 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 1 1 12 14 +23.7
J. Green 23 5-5 2-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 12 10 +14.1
M. Miller 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.2
F. King 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 5 +1.2
J. McAndrew 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -1 +1.7
Ty Davis 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -1.1
S. Thomas 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.1
J. Townley-Thomas 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Osmani 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9

* = starter