Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +24 (97-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. East II * | 32 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 2 | - |
| T. Bates * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| N. Honor * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | - |
| T. Pierce * | 20 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| N. Carter * | 19 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| C. Lewis | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Robinson II | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Shaw | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Carralero Martin | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Butler | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Vanover | 6 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Majak | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Domask * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Shannon Jr. * | 34 | 9-14 | 2-6 | 10-16 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 34 | - |
| Q. Guerrier * | 31 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 7-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 21 | - |
| C. Hawkins * | 29 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Ty Rodgers * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Harmon | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Goode | 14 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Hansberry | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Dainja | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| AJ Redd | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter