🐻⬇️🏀

Wright State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Wright State Raiders
Program History
Coach: Clint Sargent

2027 Team Stats (2 games)

99.5
PPG
71.0
Opp
+28.5
Margin
58.2%
FG%
39.5%
3P%
83.3%
FT%
40.0
RPG
17.5
APG
12.0
TO
71.6
Est. poss./game
77.4
Adj PPG
70.0
Adj Opp PPG
#98
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1007 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1042, returning +19, transfers -21, freshmen -34 More → 1072 (#111) Preseason prior 1007 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1042, returning +19, transfers -21, freshmen -34
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1027 (#127) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +274 elo More → 1019 (#125) HCA +274 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +11.1 More → +8.3 (#69) HCA +11.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +11.1 More → +8.2 (#67) HCA +11.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.793 (#83) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.0 More → 0.695 (#73) AdjNet +20.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.9 More → 0.696 (#73) AdjNet +19.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 70.0 More → 0.596 (#98) AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 70.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 70.0 More → 0.591 (#82) AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 70.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.653 (#90) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.652 (#86) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 194 | GP 2 More → 1064 (#112) RD 194 | GP 2

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Air Force Falcons W 102 - 71
2026-11-06 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 97 - 71
2026-11-10 @ Toledo Rockets - Preview
2026-11-13 @ Samford Bulldogs - Preview

2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dominic Pangonis Dominic Pangonis G 2 31.0 21.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.5 20.5 42 2 21.0 27.3 86.7 80.0 80.0 0.16 108.2 113.3
Andrea Holden Andrea Holden G 2 22.0 19.5 11.0 2.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 9.5 23.0 52 2 26.0 47.3 68.4 33.3 85.7 3.58 77.5 71.1
C.J. O'Hara C.J. O'Hara G 2 26.0 15.0 4.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 10.5 11.0 39 2 19.5 29.9 42.9 12.5 91.7 1.4 57.1 45.2
Chadlyn Traylor Chadlyn Traylor G 2 30.5 13.0 2.5 5.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 10.5 7.5 56 2 28.0 36.6 52.4 28.6 100.0 2.28 59.4 57.1
Noah Lewis Noah Lewis F 2 21.0 11.0 5.0 1.0 0.5 3.5 0.5 6.5 14.0 14 2 7.0 13.3 69.2 100.0 75.0 -0.43 74.5 73.1
Kellen Pickett Kellen Pickett F 2 24.0 11.0 5.0 2.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 7.5 11.0 48 2 24.0 39.2 60.0 25.0 100.0 1.62 67.4 63.3
Ilija Milijasevic Ilija Milijasevic G 2 21.5 4.5 1.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 1.5 6.0 2.5 22 2 11.0 20.8 25.0 30.0 0.0 0.07 36.2 37.5
Isaiah Williams Isaiah Williams G 2 12.0 3.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 8 2 4.0 13.3 75.0 0 0 -0.2 75.0 75.0
Nikola Djapa Nikola Djapa C 2 10.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0 2 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 50.0 -1.29 52.1 50.0
PJ Douglas PJ Douglas G 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4 1 4.0 92.3 0 0 0 0.24 0 0
Terrence Hayes Jr. Terrence Hayes Jr. G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.41 0 0
Sam Johnson Sam Johnson F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.41 0 0
Tahj Martin Tahj Martin G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Landen Northrop Landen Northrop G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Wright State players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Wright State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Malachi Smith 2018-19 G League Raptors 905 0 - - - - 11-06 16 pts, 8 reb, 5 ast Play-In 1 GP, 16.0 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 5.0 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-06 Malachi Smith G League Play-In Raptors 905 @ College Park Skyhawks 33 16 8 5 Box
2026-10-16 Malachi Smith NBA Preseason Toronto Raptors @ Detroit Pistons 33 24 7 3 Box
2026-10-15 Malachi Smith NBA Preseason Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks 3 8 0 0 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

122 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Holden30% Traylor19% Traylor67% Holden33% Traylor33% O'Hara33% Pangonis75% Pangonis40% Pangonis50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Holden20% Traylor25% Holden100% Traylor25% O'Hara100% Traylor50% Pickett100% Traylor40% Milijasevic60% O'Hara60%
Misses: who misses most here

Dominic PangonisAndrea HoldenChadlyn TraylorC.J. O'HaraKellen PickettIlija Milijasevic

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 27-32 84.4 54 Andrea Holden 30% (16 pts) C.J. O'Hara 19% (10 pts) Andrea Holden 20% (1 misses) C.J. O'Hara 20% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 21-33 63.6 42 Chadlyn Traylor 19% (8 pts) Kellen Pickett 19% (8 pts) Chadlyn Traylor 25% (3 misses) Andrea Holden 17% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 3-4 75.0 6 Chadlyn Traylor 67% (4 pts) Andrea Holden 33% (2 pts) Andrea Holden 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 0-4 0.0 0 - - Chadlyn Traylor 25% (1 misses) Ilija Milijasevic 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 3-4 75.0 6 Andrea Holden 33% (2 pts) Chadlyn Traylor 33% (2 pts) C.J. O'Hara 100% (1 misses) -
Left corner 3 3-5 60.0 9 Chadlyn Traylor 33% (3 pts) Dominic Pangonis 33% (3 pts) Chadlyn Traylor 50% (1 misses) Ilija Milijasevic 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 3-4 75.0 9 C.J. O'Hara 33% (3 pts) Dominic Pangonis 33% (3 pts) Kellen Pickett 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 4-14 28.6 12 Dominic Pangonis 75% (9 pts) Noah Lewis 25% (3 pts) Chadlyn Traylor 40% (4 misses) Ilija Milijasevic 30% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 5-10 50.0 15 Dominic Pangonis 40% (6 pts) Andrea Holden 20% (3 pts) Ilija Milijasevic 60% (3 misses) Andrea Holden 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 2-12 16.7 6 Dominic Pangonis 50% (3 pts) Kellen Pickett 50% (3 pts) C.J. O'Hara 60% (6 misses) Andrea Holden 10% (1 misses)