Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | +5.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +4 (129-125). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 15-16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Nimari Burnett * | 23 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Allen Graves * | 22 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Alijah Martin * | 22 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Malachi Smith | 33 | 8-18 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart | 29 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Tyreke Key | 29 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jamarion Sharp | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Celestine | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 26 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| John Collins * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 19 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 19 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 16 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Paul Reed | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chaz Lanier | 12 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Javonte Green | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Taurean Prince | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Tolu Smith | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Ebuka Okorie | 9 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Huerter | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaac Jones | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Elijah Harkless | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| John Ukomadu | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter