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Wright State Raiders

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Wright State Raiders
Program History
Coach: Scott Nagy

2018 Team Stats (4 games)

65.0
PPG
64.0
Opp
+1.0
Margin
38.5%
FG%
31.5%
3P%
69.8%
FT%
38.0
RPG
11.8
APG
10.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.7
Adj PPG
66.1
Adj Opp PPG
#142
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1136 (#96) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1115 (#95) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1097 (#50) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +1.5 (#145) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +3.1 (#127) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.670 (#89) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.9 More → 0.582 (#134) AdjNet +2.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.9 More → 0.582 (#134) AdjNet +2.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 66.1 More → 0.537 (#142) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 66.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.567 (#110) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.612 (#112) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.618 (#106) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 33 More → 1094 (#105) RD 118 | GP 33

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 80 - 84
2017-11-14 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 67 - 73
2017-11-18 vs Murray State Racers L 61 - 80
2017-11-20 vs Tiffin Dragons W 73 - 49
2017-11-24 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 67 - 47
2017-11-25 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 68 - 44
2017-11-26 vs Fairfield Stags W 57 - 56
2017-12-02 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 60 - 78
2017-12-05 vs Ohio Valley Fighting Scots W 98 - 68
2017-12-09 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 63 - 54
2017-12-16 @ Toledo Rockets W 77 - 69
2017-12-19 @ Missouri State Bears L 50 - 66
2017-12-22 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 85 - 81
2017-12-28 vs UIC Flames W 65 - 61
2017-12-30 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 60 - 52
2018-01-05 @ Detroit Mercy Titans W 80 - 73
2018-01-07 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 86 - 81
2018-01-11 @ Northern Kentucky Norse W 84 - 81
2018-01-15 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 77 - 67
2018-01-18 @ Green Bay Phoenix W 80 - 67
2018-01-20 @ Milwaukee Panthers L 61 - 66
2018-01-26 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 87 - 55
2018-01-28 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 64 - 51
2018-02-01 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 74 - 77
2018-02-03 @ Youngstown State Penguins W 83 - 57
2018-02-08 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 68 - 64
2018-02-10 vs Milwaukee Panthers L 73 - 74
2018-02-16 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 69 - 67
2018-02-19 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 72 - 63
2018-02-23 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars L 56 - 66
2018-02-25 @ UIC Flames W 88 - 81
2018-03-03 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 87 - 72
2018-03-05 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 59 - 53
2018-03-06 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 74 - 57
2018-03-15 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 47 - 73

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Grant Benzinger Grant Benzinger G 33 34.7 14.2 5.4 1.2 0.7 0.2 1.1 4.1 16.5 104 29 3.6 4.3 38.1 39.6 83.3 0.37 162.2 51.5
Loudon Love Loudon Love - 33 27.8 12.6 9.7 1.1 0.8 0.9 2.4 3.7 19.2 94 29 3.2 5.0 57.0 0 51.2 1.59 150.0 57.0
Justin Mitchell Justin Mitchell G 16 27.7 11.1 7.1 3.1 1.9 0.3 3.7 2.9 17.0 15 12 1.2 2.0 39.1 0.0 73.7 -0.31 163.7 39.1
Mark Hughes Mark Hughes G 33 31.1 9.6 3.0 2.9 1.2 0.2 1.6 2.2 13.2 91 29 3.1 4.1 40.3 33.3 95.0 -0.09 196.8 52.1
Cole Gentry Cole Gentry G 24 30.6 9.2 2.8 2.7 1.5 0.0 1.4 2.8 11.9 93 21 4.4 6.1 39.7 36.4 75.0 -0.29 140.0 48.5
Jaylon Hall Jaylon Hall F 31 23.1 9.2 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 1.6 2.7 9.4 75 27 2.8 5.4 36.1 23.1 69.0 0.0 149.3 39.8
Everett Winchester Everett Winchester G 32 21.1 8.0 3.7 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.7 1.8 10.0 46 28 1.6 3.5 43.1 0.0 62.1 -0.71 180.2 43.1
Parker Ernsthausen Parker Ernsthausen C 33 22.8 5.2 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.3 1.2 1.4 7.8 69 29 2.4 4.6 37.8 33.3 87.5 0.85 165.3 43.3
Tye Wilburn Tye Wilburn G 17 8.4 2.1 2.1 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.5 0.2 5.2 -11 14 -0.8 -3.4 25.0 100.0 0 -1.82 450.0 37.5
Alan Vest Alan Vest G 11 5.8 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.2 2.0 -3 10 -0.3 -2.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.46 275.0 0.0
Trey Stacey Trey Stacey G 8 2.5 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.84 0 0
Adam Giles Adam Giles F 7 2.4 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.11 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG