Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders +1 (57-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Cruz * | 29 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Jonathan Kasibabu * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Nelson * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -7 | - |
| Matija Milin * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jerome Segura * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kevin Senghore-Peterson | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Taj Benning | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Wassef Methnani | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Mitchell * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Grant Benzinger * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Mark Hughes * | 34 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Loudon Love * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Parker Ernsthausen * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Everett Winchester | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jaylon Hall | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tye Wilburn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter