Washington
2016 Team Stats (7 games)
78.0
PPG
84.0
Opp
-6.0
Margin
41.4%
FG%
35.8%
3P%
71.1%
FT%
34.7
RPG
14.9
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
85.0
Adj PPG
76.4
Adj Opp PPG
#65
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2015-2016
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1188 (#72) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1114 (#99) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 998 (#173) | HCA +98 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +9.5 (#60) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +7.3 (#78) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.606 (#113) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.840 (#58) | AdjNet +14.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.843 (#58) | AdjNet +14.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.685 (#65) | AdjO 85.0 | AdjD 76.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.578 (#102) | AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 79.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.698 (#76) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.678 (#83) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1147 (#78) | RD 102 | GP 34 |
2016 Schedule & Results
2016 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Andrews
|
G | 31 | 33.8 | 21.2 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 4.7 | 25.7 | 119 | 30 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 41.4 | 39.7 | 84.6 | 3.05 | 171.9 | 49.3 |
Dejounte Murray
|
- | 31 | 33.4 | 15.8 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 19.9 | 88 | 30 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 40.7 | 29.7 | 64.6 | 1.02 | 142.9 | 44.3 |
Marquese Chriss
|
- | 31 | 24.8 | 13.7 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 16.1 | 62 | 30 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 52.8 | 41.7 | 67.4 | 0.85 | 146.0 | 56.7 |
Noah Dickerson
|
F | 30 | 22.7 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 11.3 | 95 | 29 | 3.3 | 6.1 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 52.9 | 2.75 | 160.2 | 38.9 |
David Crisp
|
G | 31 | 21.3 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 8.4 | 3 | 30 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 34.2 | 30.9 | 100.0 | -1.52 | 135.0 | 45.4 |
Malik Dime
|
F | 31 | 21.3 | 6.8 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 13.0 | 59 | 30 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 56.0 | 0 | 70.4 | 1.4 | 170.5 | 56.0 |
Matisse Thybulle
|
- | 31 | 24.1 | 6.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 9.7 | 71 | 30 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 44.4 | 44.4 | 71.4 | -0.24 | 131.5 | 54.0 |
Dominic Green
|
F | 27 | 11.6 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3.2 | -49 | 26 | -1.9 | -6.7 | 26.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -2.35 | 137.3 | 38.5 |
Devenir Duruisseau
|
F | 14 | 8.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.6 | -32 | 14 | -2.3 | -10.7 | 60.0 | 0 | 57.1 | -2.07 | 179.5 | 60.0 |
Donaven Dorsey
|
G | 24 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 16 | 24 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 18.2 | 14.3 | 0.0 | -1.18 | 192.3 | 22.7 |
Greg Bowman
|
F | 7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -24 | 6 | -4.0 | -77.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.56 | 0 | 0 |
Dan Kingma
|
G | 9 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | -20 | 7 | -2.9 | -32.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -3.2 | 159.6 | 100.0 |
KJ Garrett
|
G | 6 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -20 | 5 | -4.0 | -89.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Joe Knight
|
- | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG