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Washington

Also known as: Washington Huskies, Washington
Program History

Model Outputs

2002-2003
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 1024 (#148) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 949 (#207) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +112 elo More β†’ 940 (#245) HCA +112 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More β†’ +3.7 (#114) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More β†’ +4.2 (#107) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.399 (#213) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.2 More β†’ 0.671 (#108) AdjNet +6.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.3 More β†’ 0.675 (#108) AdjNet +6.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 68.9 More β†’ 0.557 (#124) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 68.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 71.6 More β†’ 0.482 (#176) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 71.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.538 (#148) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.524 (#150) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 27 More β†’ 990 (#160) RD 151 | GP 27

2003 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2002-11-24 vs Montana State L 53 - 56
2002-11-30 @ Nevada–Las Vegas L 61 - 82
2002-12-02 @ Gonzaga L 89 - 95
2002-12-05 vs Wyoming W 79 - 70
2002-12-07 @ Santa Clara W 72 - 55
2002-12-14 vs Eastern Washington L 58 - 62
2002-12-21 vs Florida International W 83 - 48
2002-12-23 vs Houston W 85 - 61
2002-12-28 vs Cal State Northridge W 89 - 80
2003-01-02 vs UCLA L 67 - 77
2003-01-04 vs Southern California W 76 - 72
2003-01-09 @ Arizona State L 57 - 89
2003-01-11 @ Arizona L 61 - 79
2003-01-16 vs California L 66 - 73
2003-01-18 vs Stanford W 73 - 68
2003-01-23 @ Oregon L 66 - 91
2003-01-25 @ Oregon State L 62 - 82
2003-01-31 vs Washington State W 81 - 67
2003-02-06 vs Arizona L 85 - 88
2003-02-08 vs Arizona State L 77 - 79
2003-02-13 @ Stanford L 69 - 78
2003-02-15 @ California L 53 - 58
2003-02-20 vs Oregon State L 72 - 80
2003-02-22 vs Oregon W 78 - 66
2003-03-01 @ Washington State L 76 - 98
2003-03-06 @ Southern California W 95 - 89
2003-03-08 @ UCLA L 72 - 83

2003 Roster

No roster data available for this season.