Washington
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β | 1024 (#148) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β | 949 (#207) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | 940 (#245) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More β | +3.7 (#114) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | +4.2 (#107) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β | 0.399 (#213) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More β | 0.671 (#108) | AdjNet +6.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More β | 0.675 (#108) | AdjNet +6.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More β | 0.557 (#124) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 68.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More β | 0.482 (#176) | AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More β | 0.538 (#148) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More β | 0.524 (#150) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More β | 990 (#160) | RD 151 | GP 27 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-24 | vs | Montana State | L | 53 - 56 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ | NevadaβLas Vegas | L | 61 - 82 |
| 2002-12-02 | @ | Gonzaga | L | 89 - 95 |
| 2002-12-05 | vs | Wyoming | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ | Santa Clara | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2002-12-14 | vs | Eastern Washington | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2002-12-21 | vs | Florida International | W | 83 - 48 |
| 2002-12-23 | vs | Houston | W | 85 - 61 |
| 2002-12-28 | vs | Cal State Northridge | W | 89 - 80 |
| 2003-01-02 | vs | UCLA | L | 67 - 77 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Southern California | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2003-01-09 | @ | Arizona State | L | 57 - 89 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | Arizona | L | 61 - 79 |
| 2003-01-16 | vs | California | L | 66 - 73 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Stanford | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2003-01-23 | @ | Oregon | L | 66 - 91 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | Oregon State | L | 62 - 82 |
| 2003-01-31 | vs | Washington State | W | 81 - 67 |
| 2003-02-06 | vs | Arizona | L | 85 - 88 |
| 2003-02-08 | vs | Arizona State | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2003-02-13 | @ | Stanford | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2003-02-15 | @ | California | L | 53 - 58 |
| 2003-02-20 | vs | Oregon State | L | 72 - 80 |
| 2003-02-22 | vs | Oregon | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Washington State | L | 76 - 98 |
| 2003-03-06 | @ | Southern California | W | 95 - 89 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | UCLA | L | 72 - 83 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.