๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Washington Wizards

Also known as: Washington Wizards
Program History

2014 Team Stats (80 games)

100.0
PPG
98.7
Opp
+1.3
Margin
45.9%
FG%
38.2%
3P%
73.0%
FT%
41.9
RPG
23.4
APG
14.1
TO
96.3
Est. poss./game
99.0
Adj PPG
98.3
Adj Opp PPG
#15
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1096 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1021 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +63 elo More โ†’ 1031 (#12) HCA +63 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +0.8 (#15) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +1.3 (#12) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.536 (#14) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More โ†’ 0.518 (#15) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.6 More โ†’ 0.518 (#15) AdjNet +0.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 99.0 | AdjD 98.3 More โ†’ 0.518 (#15) AdjO 99.0 | AdjD 98.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 98.4 | AdjD 97.1 More โ†’ 0.530 (#12) AdjO 98.4 | AdjD 97.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.550 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.553 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 93 More โ†’ 1053 (#12) RD 138 | GP 93

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-10-30 @ Detroit Pistons L 102 - 113
2013-11-01 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 102 - 109
2013-11-03 @ Miami Heat L 93 - 103
2013-11-06 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 116 - 102
2013-11-08 vs Brooklyn Nets W 112 - 108
2013-11-10 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 105 - 106
2013-11-12 @ Dallas Mavericks L 95 - 105
2013-11-13 @ San Antonio Spurs L 79 - 92
2013-11-16 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 96 - 103
2013-11-19 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 104 - 100
2013-11-20 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 98 - 91
2013-11-22 @ Toronto Raptors L 88 - 96
2013-11-23 vs New York Knicks W 98 - 89
2013-11-26 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 116 - 111
2013-11-27 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 100 - 92
2013-11-29 @ Indiana Pacers L 73 - 93
2013-11-30 vs Atlanta Hawks W 108 - 101
2013-12-02 vs Orlando Magic W 98 - 80
2013-12-06 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 105 - 109
2013-12-09 vs Denver Nuggets L 74 - 75
2013-12-13 @ Atlanta Hawks L 99 - 101
2013-12-14 vs LA Clippers L 97 - 113
2013-12-16 @ New York Knicks W 102 - 101
2013-12-18 @ Brooklyn Nets W 113 - 107
2013-12-21 @ Boston Celtics W 106 - 99
2013-12-27 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 98 - 120
2013-12-28 vs Detroit Pistons W 106 - 82
2013-12-30 @ Detroit Pistons W 106 - 99
2014-01-01 vs Dallas Mavericks L 78 - 87
2014-01-03 vs Toronto Raptors L 88 - 101
2014-01-05 vs Golden State Warriors L 96 - 112
2014-01-07 @ Charlotte Hornets W 97 - 83
2014-01-08 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 102 - 96
2014-01-10 @ Indiana Pacers L 66 - 93
2014-01-11 vs Houston Rockets L 107 - 114
2014-01-13 @ Chicago Bulls W 102 - 88
2014-01-15 vs Miami Heat W 114 - 97
2014-01-17 vs Chicago Bulls W 96 - 93
2014-01-18 vs Detroit Pistons L 98 - 104
2014-01-20 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 107 - 99
2014-01-22 vs Boston Celtics L 111 - 113
2014-01-24 @ Phoenix Suns W 101 - 95
2014-01-25 @ Utah Jazz L 101 - 104
2014-01-28 @ Golden State Warriors W 88 - 85
2014-01-29 @ LA Clippers L 103 - 110
2014-02-01 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 96 - 81
2014-02-03 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 100 - 90
2014-02-05 vs San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score
2014-02-07 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 113 - 115
2014-02-09 vs Sacramento Kings W 93 - 84
2014-02-11 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 89 - 92
2014-02-12 @ Houston Rockets L 112 - 113
2014-02-18 vs Toronto Raptors L 93 - 103
2014-02-19 @ Atlanta Hawks W 114 - 97
2014-02-22 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 94 - 93
2014-02-23 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 96 - 83
2014-02-25 vs Orlando Magic W 115 - 106
2014-02-27 @ Toronto Raptors - Incomplete score
2014-03-01 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 122 - 103
2014-03-03 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 104 - 110
2014-03-05 vs Utah Jazz W 104 - 91
2014-03-08 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 114 - 107
2014-03-10 @ Miami Heat L 90 - 99
2014-03-12 vs Charlotte Hornets L 85 - 98
2014-03-14 @ Orlando Magic W 105 - 101
2014-03-15 vs Brooklyn Nets W 101 - 94
2014-03-18 @ Sacramento Kings L 111 - 117
2014-03-20 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 103 - 116
2014-03-21 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 117 - 107
2014-03-23 @ Denver Nuggets L 102 - 105
2014-03-26 vs Phoenix Suns L 93 - 99
2014-03-28 vs Indiana Pacers W 91 - 78
2014-03-29 vs Atlanta Hawks W 101 - 97
2014-03-31 @ Charlotte Hornets L 94 - 100
2014-04-02 vs Boston Celtics W 118 - 92
2014-04-04 @ New York Knicks W 90 - 89
2014-04-05 vs Chicago Bulls L 78 - 96
2014-04-09 vs Charlotte Hornets L 88 - 94
2014-04-11 @ Orlando Magic W 96 - 86
2014-04-12 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 104 - 91
2014-04-14 vs Miami Heat W 114 - 93
2014-04-16 @ Boston Celtics W 118 - 102
2014-04-20 @ Chicago Bulls W 102 - 93
2014-04-22 @ Chicago Bulls W 101 - 99
2014-04-25 vs Chicago Bulls L 97 - 100
2014-04-27 vs Chicago Bulls W 98 - 89
2014-04-29 @ Chicago Bulls W 75 - 69
2014-05-05 @ Indiana Pacers W 102 - 96
2014-05-07 @ Indiana Pacers L 82 - 86
2014-05-09 vs Indiana Pacers L 63 - 85
2014-05-11 vs Indiana Pacers L 92 - 95
2014-05-13 @ Indiana Pacers W 102 - 79
2014-05-15 vs Indiana Pacers L 80 - 93

2014 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
John Wall John Wall G 80 36.1 19.0 4.1 8.8 1.8 0.5 3.5 16.1 14.5 - - - - 43.1 35.1 80.6 - 52.3 47.2
Bradley Beal Bradley Beal G 71 34.4 17.2 3.6 3.3 1.0 0.3 1.8 15.7 7.9 - - - - 42.1 40.7 78.5 - 50.9 48.2
Nene Hilario Nene Hilario G 52 29.3 14.3 5.5 2.9 1.2 0.9 2.2 11.2 11.4 - - - - 50.9 20.0 58.1 - 53.4 50.9
Trevor Ariza Trevor Ariza G 75 35.0 14.3 6.1 2.5 1.7 0.3 1.7 11.1 12.1 - - - - 45.6 41.0 76.5 - 59.0 56.3
Marcin Gortat Marcin Gortat G 79 32.5 13.0 9.5 1.7 0.5 1.5 1.6 10.2 14.4 - - - - 54.4 100.0 69.0 - 56.9 54.4
Martell Webster G 76 27.4 9.8 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.8 7.5 6.3 - - - - 43.3 39.4 83.7 - 59.2 55.8
Drew Gooden Drew Gooden F 22 18.0 8.3 5.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.8 6.5 7.7 - - - - 53.1 41.2 88.9 - 59.1 55.6
Trevor Booker G 70 21.5 6.8 5.2 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 5.6 7.7 - - - - 55.0 0.0 62.2 - 56.2 55.0
Al Harrington F 33 15.0 6.6 2.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.0 6.0 3.2 - - - - 39.4 35.4 77.1 - 50.8 48.0
Kevin Seraphin C 52 10.9 4.7 2.4 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.8 4.1 3.1 - - - - 50.7 0 87.1 - 53.6 50.7
Andre Miller Andre Miller G 27 14.7 3.6 2.0 3.5 0.6 0.1 1.0 3.0 5.8 - - - - 43.8 66.7 85.7 - 52.0 45.0
Jan Vesely F 33 14.2 3.2 3.4 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.7 2.8 4.8 - - - - 52.2 0 26.7 - 49.4 52.2
Glen Rice F 11 9.9 2.9 1.8 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.8 3.4 1.8 - - - - 29.7 29.4 71.4 - 39.9 36.5
Chris Singleton - 24 9.4 2.6 1.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.7 2.5 1.9 - - - - 36.7 36.8 64.7 - 45.9 42.5
Eric Maynor - 23 9.3 2.3 1.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.7 3.1 1.4 - - - - 29.2 32.0 66.7 - 35.5 34.7
Otto Porter Jr. Otto Porter Jr. G 37 8.6 2.1 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 2.5 1.3 - - - - 36.3 19.0 66.7 - 40.5 38.5
Garrett Temple Garrett Temple - 73 8.5 1.8 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.8 - - - - 35.5 20.7 69.2 - 42.2 37.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG