Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.1% | 46.9% | -0.7 | ✗ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +21 (114-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toney Douglas * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Justin Hamilton * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 18 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 18 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| James Jones * | 17 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 31 | 10-13 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 24 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| John Wall * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 17 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 12 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter