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2013-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 78.6% 21.4% -4.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 63.2% 36.8% - โœ“
Margin 60.4% 39.6% -2.3 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.4% 36.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.4% 36.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.2% 45.8% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons -7 (99-106). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Wall * 37 7-15 1-4 14-15 4 7 2 0 5 29 22 -
Trevor Ariza * 35 5-11 3-7 2-2 11 4 6 0 1 15 24 -
Bradley Beal * 29 6-13 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 13 4 -
Marcin Gortat * 27 4-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 1 8 6 -
Trevor Booker * 22 2-6 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Nene Hilario 28 5-9 0-0 1-2 6 5 0 0 1 11 12 -
Martell Webster 21 4-7 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 10 8 -
Garrett Temple 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 4 0 0 0 1 6 -
Kevin Seraphin 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
Otto Porter Jr. 9 3-4 0-0 1-3 0 0 1 0 2 7 2 -
Jan Vesely 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Smith * 42 6-19 0-2 4-6 9 6 2 0 4 16 10 -
Brandon Jennings * 39 5-16 2-8 3-4 0 14 3 0 6 15 10 -
Greg Monroe * 38 7-17 0-0 8-12 10 2 1 0 1 22 17 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 35 7-11 3-6 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 17 10 -
Andre Drummond * 32 7-10 0-0 2-4 16 0 2 1 2 16 23 -
Kyle Singler 25 4-5 1-2 2-4 3 0 1 1 1 11 10 -
Chauncey Billups 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Will Bynum 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Gigi Datome 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Josh Harrellson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter