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Wake Forest

Also known as: Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Wake Forest
Program History

2016 Team Stats (12 games)

70.0
PPG
77.8
Opp
-6.9
Margin
42.0%
FG%
28.8%
3P%
63.8%
FT%
38.3
RPG
14.9
APG
13.6
TO
83.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1468 (#72) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1413 (#79) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +32.8 (#68) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.185 (#83) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -14.6 More → 0.153 (#72) NetEff -14.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.8 More → 0.522 (#65) AdjNet +0.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.8 More → 0.524 (#65) AdjNet +0.8

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-15 @ Bucknell Bison W 90 - 82
2015-11-23 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 82 - 78
2015-12-18 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 83 - 77
2015-12-22 vs Xavier Musketeers L 70 - 78
2016-01-03 @ Louisville Cardinals L 57 - 65
2016-01-06 vs Duke Blue Devils L 75 - 91
2016-01-20 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 68 - 83
2016-01-23 @ Miami Hurricanes L 63 - 77
2016-01-26 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 71 - 72
2016-01-31 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 62 - 85
2016-02-24 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 58 - 69
2016-03-01 @ Duke Blue Devils L 71 - 79
2016-03-08 @ NC State Wolfpack L 72 - 75

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Thomas D. Thomas F 12 30.8 15.4 9.5 2.4 0.6 1.6 3.3 11.1 15.1 -13 -1.9 -3.7 54.1 0 56.2 1.2 56.0 54.1
B. Crawford B. Crawford G 13 32.3 15.2 2.7 4.5 2.1 0.2 3.6 13.0 8.1 -39 -4.3 -3.7 40.2 38.8 59.6 1.16 51.6 49.4
J. Collins J. Collins - 12 15.8 8.4 4.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 5.4 7.4 - - - 55.4 0 69.0 0.34 60.5 55.4
D. Mitoglou D. Mitoglou F 13 24.2 7.9 6.3 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.1 7.0 7.6 - - - 39.6 26.7 73.1 - 50.3 46.2
C. Miller-McIntyre C. Miller-McIntyre G 11 29.7 7.1 4.7 3.7 1.0 0.1 2.1 8.5 6.1 - - - 33.3 21.7 55.0 - 38.3 36.0
M. Wilbekin M. Wilbekin G 13 27.4 6.5 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.0 0.4 6.2 3.8 - - - 32.5 29.8 80.0 0.4 47.9 43.1
C. Hudson C. Hudson F 8 22.0 5.5 3.0 2.0 0.9 0.2 1.6 6.0 4.0 -35 -5.8 -5.8 37.5 19.2 75.0 0.8 44.2 42.7
D. Moore D. Moore C 12 7.2 3.6 2.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 2.6 3.4 -12 -1.7 -2.7 64.5 0 60.0 0.68 64.8 64.5
G. McClinton G. McClinton F 11 10.2 3.4 2.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.7 2.7 - - - 50.0 0.0 63.6 0.15 53.1 50.0
R. Watson R. Watson G 10 14.5 2.8 1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.6 2.8 2.8 -30 -3.3 -4.6 35.7 30.8 44.4 0.94 43.8 42.9
G. McGregor G. McGregor F 1 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
T. VanHorn T. VanHorn G 9 8.1 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.6 - - - 18.2 0.0 100.0 - 34.1 18.2
G. O'Brien G. O'Brien F 3 4.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
S. Prendergast S. Prendergast G 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 -0.7 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
T. Rike T. Rike F 2 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG