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2016-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 28.7% 71.3% -
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% -
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.6 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 15.1% 84.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (83-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas * 33 8-13 0-0 1-2 9 2 1 2 7 17 11 -4.3
B. Crawford * 32 5-16 2-6 6-7 4 5 1 0 3 18 9 +3.2
C. Miller-McIntyre * 30 3-7 0-2 0-3 5 4 1 0 3 6 6 -
D. Mitoglou * 16 1-4 0-3 2-4 6 1 0 0 2 4 5 -6.5
M. Wilbekin * 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
C. Hudson 28 4-9 0-3 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 8 6 +2.6
J. Collins 18 3-7 0-0 3-4 7 0 1 2 1 9 11 -
R. Watson 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 +9.3
D. Moore 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
G. O'Brien 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. McClinton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. VanHorn 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Rike 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Prendergast 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Berry II * 29 2-7 2-3 3-4 6 3 1 1 0 9 13 +8.6
J. Jackson * 24 4-13 0-2 0-2 6 3 2 0 0 8 6 -
B. Johnson * 24 8-12 0-0 11-12 11 0 3 2 2 27 29 +1.7
M. Paige * 23 1-8 0-5 0-0 0 2 4 1 0 2 1 -
K. Meeks * 15 4-9 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 2 1 9 8 -7.5
I. Hicks 19 3-7 0-0 3-5 9 1 2 0 3 9 11 +8.5
T. Pinson 17 1-3 0-2 3-5 3 1 2 0 2 5 6 -
N. Britt 17 2-6 1-3 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 6 1 -7.4
L. Maye 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
K. Williams 7 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Egbuna 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Coleman 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. White 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Dalton 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Coker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter