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Wake Forest

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Also known as: Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Wake Forest
Program History
Coach: Steve Forbes

2013 Team Stats (4 games)

74.5
PPG
76.0
Opp
-1.5
Margin
47.9%
FG%
40.9%
3P%
68.0%
FT%
37.0
RPG
11.5
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.4
Adj PPG
65.4
Adj Opp PPG
#137
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1053 (#140) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1002 (#174) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More → 943 (#251) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +2.5 (#131) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +2.3 (#131) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.388 (#217) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.6 More → 0.656 (#119) AdjNet +5.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.7 More → 0.659 (#117) AdjNet +5.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 65.4 More → 0.544 (#137) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 65.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.482 (#188) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 66.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.537 (#154) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.524 (#156) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 31 More → 1031 (#154) RD 133 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Radford Highlanders W 79 - 67
2012-11-16 @ UConn Huskies L 71 - 77
2012-11-17 @ Iona Gaels L 68 - 94
2012-11-19 vs Mercer Bears W 74 - 71
2012-11-23 vs William & Mary Tribe W 63 - 57
2012-11-27 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 63 - 79
2012-12-01 @ Richmond Spiders L 60 - 62
2012-12-05 vs High Point Panthers W 71 - 60
2012-12-08 vs Seton Hall Pirates L 67 - 71
2012-12-18 vs Furman Paladins W 79 - 55
2012-12-22 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 84 - 70
2013-01-02 vs Xavier Musketeers W 66 - 59
2013-01-05 @ Duke Blue Devils L 62 - 80
2013-01-09 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 55 - 52
2013-01-12 vs Boston College Eagles W 75 - 72
2013-01-15 @ Clemson Tigers L 44 - 60
2013-01-19 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 65 - 66
2013-01-22 vs NC State Wolfpack W 86 - 84
2013-01-26 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 62 - 82
2013-01-30 vs Duke Blue Devils L 70 - 75
2013-02-02 @ Maryland Terrapins L 60 - 86
2013-02-05 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 62 - 87
2013-02-09 vs Florida State Seminoles W 71 - 46
2013-02-13 @ Boston College Eagles L 63 - 66
2013-02-16 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 56 - 57
2013-02-23 vs Miami Hurricanes W 80 - 65
2013-02-26 @ Florida State Seminoles L 62 - 76
2013-03-02 vs Maryland Terrapins L 57 - 67
2013-03-06 @ NC State Wolfpack L 66 - 81
2013-03-10 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 90 - 79
2013-03-14 @ Maryland Terrapins L 62 - 75

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C.J. Harris C.J. Harris G 31 32.8 15.4 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.1 2.5 2.3 15.7 -63 25 -2.5 -3.3 50.0 52.2 77.8 0.3 271.5 58.3
Travis McKie Travis McKie F 31 32.2 13.5 7.0 1.2 1.4 1.0 1.8 2.5 19.8 -22 25 -0.9 -1.2 42.1 37.5 80.0 2.2 223.8 48.0
Devin Thomas Devin Thomas F 31 27.3 9.1 7.5 1.3 1.0 1.4 2.5 1.6 16.3 -71 25 -2.8 -4.5 48.0 0 42.9 0.2 215.6 48.0
Codi Miller-McIntyre Codi Miller-McIntyre G 30 28.9 8.1 2.7 2.6 0.6 0.0 1.9 2.1 10.1 -65 24 -2.7 -4.0 52.4 40.0 53.8 -2.32 177.5 57.1
A. Adala Moto A. Adala Moto F 31 16.3 5.6 3.9 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.1 1.3 8.4 -50 25 -2.0 -4.9 33.3 12.5 66.7 -1.01 186.5 34.6
Tyler Cavanaugh Tyler Cavanaugh F 31 16.7 5.0 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.2 0.9 6.2 9 25 0.4 0.9 44.8 30.8 50.0 0.27 238.3 51.7
Chase Fischer Chase Fischer G 31 14.2 4.5 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.5 5.5 45 25 1.8 5.2 33.3 36.4 50.0 2.13 434.5 46.7
Madison Jones Madison Jones G 31 18.8 3.6 1.1 2.1 1.3 0.3 1.8 0.8 5.7 -28 25 -1.1 -2.6 72.0 0.0 44.4 -0.97 193.4 72.0
Aaron Rountree Aaron Rountree F 29 11.2 2.2 1.9 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.3 5.7 38 24 1.6 5.7 50.0 0.0 60.0 2.94 266.4 50.0
Spencer Jennings Spencer Jennings G 8 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.8 12 8 1.5 52.2 0 0 0 1.05 0 0
Andre Washington Andre Washington C 17 4.9 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.5 9 14 0.6 5.4 0.0 0 100.0 0.2 295.1 0.0
Doug Niedrich Doug Niedrich F 2 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
Duke Antonelli Duke Antonelli - 2 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Grant O'Brien Grant O'Brien F 2 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG