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Wagner Seahawks

Also known as: Wagner Seahawks
Program History

2017 Team Stats (1 games)

67.0
PPG
58.0
Opp
+9.0
Margin
37.7%
FG%
36.0%
3P%
78.3%
FT%
37.0
RPG
13.0
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.8
Adj PPG
68.7
Adj Opp PPG
#245
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 954 (#193) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 922 (#227) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1017 (#151) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -5.7 (#249) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -5.5 (#257) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.533 (#153) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.6 More โ†’ 0.295 (#243) AdjNet -7.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.6 More โ†’ 0.293 (#243) AdjNet -7.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 68.7 More โ†’ 0.390 (#245) AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 68.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 67.8 More โ†’ 0.467 (#199) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 67.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.397 (#223) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.412 (#217) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 146 | GP 29 More โ†’ 919 (#223) RD 146 | GP 29

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ UConn Huskies W 67 - 58
2016-11-14 @ UMass Lowell River Hawks L 76 - 87
2016-11-19 vs Fairfield Stags L 64 - 70
2016-11-22 @ American University Eagles W 73 - 65
2016-11-26 vs Rider Broncs L 67 - 70
2016-11-30 @ Massachusetts Minutemen L 55 - 62
2016-12-06 vs Monmouth Hawks L 71 - 81
2016-12-10 @ Morgan State Bears W 68 - 66
2016-12-17 @ Providence Friars L 54 - 76
2016-12-22 vs Staten Island Dolphins W 94 - 42
2016-12-29 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 71 - 46
2016-12-31 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 56 - 57
2017-01-05 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 69 - 70
2017-01-07 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 75 - 64
2017-01-12 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 66 - 77
2017-01-14 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 53 - 50
2017-01-19 @ Long Island University Sharks L 69 - 76
2017-01-21 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 67 - 62
2017-01-26 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves L 67 - 72
2017-01-28 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 66 - 64
2017-02-02 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 70 - 60
2017-02-04 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 68 - 59
2017-02-09 @ Saint Francis Red Wolves W 76 - 74
2017-02-11 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 48 - 50
2017-02-16 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 69 - 65
2017-02-18 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 73 - 55
2017-02-23 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 69 - 66
2017-02-25 vs Long Island University Sharks L 84 - 88
2017-03-01 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 72 - 70
2017-03-04 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves L 70 - 71

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mike Aaman Mike Aaman F 1 28.0 15.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 14.0 42 21 2.0 4.1 45.5 0 83.3 -0.09 55.0 45.5
R. Saunders R. Saunders G 1 27.0 15.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 6.0 - - - - 45.5 42.9 100.0 0.16 63.1 59.1
Corey Henson Corey Henson G 12 31.8 13.6 2.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 2.1 1.7 14.9 56 23 2.4 3.1 45.0 40.0 0 -0.4 407.5 60.0
Michael Carey Michael Carey G 13 33.0 11.3 8.4 2.0 0.7 0.1 3.0 1.8 17.7 50 24 2.1 2.7 56.5 44.4 81.8 0.06 264.0 65.2
Blake Francis Blake Francis G 11 20.5 10.5 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.8 0.3 12.6 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 1933.3 0.0
JoJo Cooper JoJo Cooper G 12 32.4 9.0 5.7 3.7 1.5 0.0 2.6 1.2 16.0 29 21 1.4 1.9 26.7 16.7 83.3 -1.64 306.1 30.0
AJ Sumbry AJ Sumbry F 13 15.8 4.5 4.2 0.4 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.8 8.2 67 24 2.8 8.3 60.0 0 20.0 0.83 241.8 60.0
Elijah Davis Elijah Davis G 9 16.1 3.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.0 5.6 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Devin Liggeons Devin Liggeons G 11 14.3 3.3 2.6 0.2 0.7 0.2 1.7 0.4 4.9 11 21 0.5 1.6 25.0 33.3 100.0 -2.57 290.3 37.5
Connor Ferrell Connor Ferrell - 11 18.5 3.3 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.7 4.7 - - - - 37.5 0.0 0 - 225.0 37.5
Shack Scott Shack Scott F 12 7.8 2.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 3.4 1 13 0.1 0.4 0.0 0 0 -2.73 1200.0 0.0
Greg Senat Greg Senat F 9 8.2 1.8 2.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.2 3.3 - - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 277.8 0.0
Marquis Salmon Marquis Salmon F 4 11.2 1.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.5 - - - - 33.3 100.0 50.0 -0.39 77.3 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG