Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks -6 (64-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Segura * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Tyler Nelson * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Jonathan Kasibabu * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Curtis Cobb * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Matija Milin * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Amadou Sidibe | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Deniz Celen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Olivier Cadieux | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Carey * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 24 | - |
| JoJo Cooper * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 33 | - |
| Marquis Salmon * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Devin Liggeons * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Blake Francis | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Connor Ferrell | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| AJ Sumbry | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Shack Scott | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter