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Virginia

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Virginia Cavaliers
Program History
Coach: Debbie Ryan

2007 Team Stats (4 games)

67.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
35.4%
FG%
19.0%
3P%
72.7%
FT%
33.8
RPG
0.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.5
Adj PPG
64.5
Adj Opp PPG
#65
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1206 (#65) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1161 (#69) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 1035 (#120) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +11.0 (#65) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More → +9.5 (#71) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.550 (#141) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.7 More → 0.885 (#62) AdjNet +17.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.1 More → 0.890 (#62) AdjNet +18.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 64.5 More → 0.714 (#65) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 64.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 67.0 More → 0.600 (#85) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 67.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.745 (#68) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.725 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 34 More → 1150 (#68) RD 105 | GP 34

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-11-10 @ Rhode Island Rams W 69 - 56
2006-11-12 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 92 - 72
2006-11-17 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 84 - 76
2006-11-20 vs Liberty Flames L 71 - 75
2006-11-24 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 55 - 62
2006-11-25 vs UCF Knights W 76 - 47
2006-11-29 vs Temple Owls W 71 - 65
2006-12-02 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 85 - 66
2006-12-05 @ Marshall Thundering Herd W 75 - 58
2006-12-16 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 100 - 60
2006-12-18 vs UConn Huskies L 60 - 96
2006-12-28 vs Maine Black Bears W 86 - 66
2006-12-29 vs UAB Blazers W 81 - 63
2007-01-03 @ Richmond Spiders L 70 - 73
2007-01-08 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 62 - 96
2007-01-11 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 77 - 70
2007-01-14 vs Boston College Eagles W 65 - 63
2007-01-19 @ Maryland Terrapins L 68 - 95
2007-01-22 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 58 - 60
2007-01-25 @ NC State Wolfpack L 60 - 71
2007-01-28 @ Florida State Seminoles L 47 - 63
2007-02-02 vs Duke Blue Devils L 61 - 76
2007-02-04 vs Miami Hurricanes W 73 - 60
2007-02-06 vs North Florida Ospreys W 90 - 57
2007-02-11 vs Maryland Terrapins L 74 - 83
2007-02-15 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 79 - 76
2007-02-18 vs Florida State Seminoles L 77 - 79
2007-02-22 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 49 - 73
2007-02-25 @ Clemson Tigers W 86 - 85
2007-03-01 vs Clemson Tigers W 89 - 82
2007-03-02 @ Duke Blue Devils L 58 - 79
2007-03-19 vs Charlotte 49ers W 74 - 72
2007-03-22 vs South Florida Bulls W 73 - 71
2007-03-25 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 78 - 84

2007 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Wright M. Wright G 4 0.0 17.2 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.8 8.5 - - - - 39.0 30.8 76.0 - 49.3 42.4
L. Littles L. Littles F 3 0.0 13.3 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 6.0 - - - - 31.1 0.0 63.2 - 37.5 31.1
S. Williams S. Williams NA 4 0.0 7.2 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 6.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 69.2 - 40.6 33.3
B. McGuire B. McGuire NA 4 0.0 6.0 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8 0.5 - - - - 22.6 22.7 83.3 - 35.7 30.6
S. Zoll S. Zoll NA 4 0.0 5.2 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8 1.2 - - - - 19.4 11.1 87.5 - 30.4 22.6
A. Robertson A. Robertson NA 1 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG