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2007-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 22.3% 77.7% -
Bradley-Terry 19.6% 80.4% -
Margin 15.3% 84.7% +9.4 (24.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +34 (96-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
L. Littles 0 8-15 - 3-6 7 19 11
M. Wright 0 6-18 -3 5-8 8 17 7
S. Williams 0 -4 - 1-4 6 1 3
S. Zoll 0 1-4 -1 - 4 2 2
B. McGuire 0 3-10 2-8 - 4 8 2

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
R. Mccants 0 3-10 -2 - 3 6 -1
L. Sanders 0 4-10 - 3-4 10 11 11
E. Larkins 0 7-17 -1 3-5 12 17 12
I. Latta 0 4-15 4-12 2-2 14 -1
C. Little 0 6-12 1-2 7-9 7 20 15

* = starter