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2007-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 22.3% 77.7% -
Bradley-Terry 19.6% 80.4% -
Margin 15.3% 84.7% +9.4 (24.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +34 (96-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Littles 0 8-15 0-0 3-6 7 0 0 0 0 19 11 -
M. Wright 0 6-18 0-3 5-8 8 0 0 0 0 17 7 -
S. Williams 0 0-4 0-0 1-4 6 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
S. Zoll 0 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. McGuire 0 3-10 2-8 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Mccants 0 3-10 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 -1 -
L. Sanders 0 4-10 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 0 0 11 11 -
E. Larkins 0 7-17 0-1 3-5 12 0 0 0 0 17 12 -
I. Latta 0 4-15 4-12 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 14 -1 -
C. Little 0 6-12 1-2 7-9 7 0 0 0 0 20 15 -

* = starter