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2007-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
ELO 16.5% 83.5% -
Bradley-Terry 10.7% 89.3% -
Margin 5.6% 94.4% +15.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
L. Littles 0 2-13 - 3-3 7 7 1
M. Wright 0 6-15 2-5 4-4 9 18 12
S. Williams 0 4-11 -1 4-5 8 12 9
S. Zoll 0 2-11 -4 - 3 4 -4
B. McGuire 0 -5 -3 2-2 1 2 -2

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
A. Bales 0 4-13 - 5-6 8 13 8
C. Gay 0 5-7 - - 1 10 4
Player #5335 0 9-17 6-10 - 6 24 13
W. Smith 0 1-6 -3 4-5 9 6 9
L. Harding 0 3-8 - - 1 6 -1

* = starter