Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Littles | 0 | 2-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Wright | 0 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. Williams | 0 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| S. Zoll | 0 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4 | - |
| B. McGuire | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 0 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| C. Gay | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Waner | 0 | 9-17 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 13 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| L. Harding | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
* = starter