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Valparaiso

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Valparaiso Beacons
Program History
Coach: Bryce Drew

2014 Team Stats (10 games)

66.2
PPG
67.3
Opp
-1.1
Margin
45.0%
FG%
38.1%
3P%
68.7%
FT%
33.3
RPG
12.3
APG
14.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.5
Adj PPG
66.9
Adj Opp PPG
#158
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 995 (#181) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 980 (#184) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 958 (#236) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +0.8 (#160) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -1.5 (#191) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.519 (#159) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.2 More → 0.535 (#156) AdjNet +1.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.3 More → 0.536 (#155) AdjNet +1.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.515 (#158) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 66.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 64.6 More → 0.467 (#206) AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 64.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.488 (#174) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.478 (#180) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 122 | GP 31 More → 989 (#173) RD 122 | GP 31

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs Murray State Racers W 77 - 74
2013-11-10 vs North Park Vikings W 113 - 50
2013-11-13 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 52 - 64
2013-11-17 @ Ohio Bobcats L 72 - 76
2013-11-20 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 92 - 100
2013-11-23 vs James Madison Dukes W 81 - 49
2013-11-26 vs UCF Knights W 85 - 70
2013-11-29 vs Mercer Bears L 108 - 117
2013-11-30 vs Cincinnati Christian Eagles W 94 - 58
2013-12-04 @ Ball State Cardinals W 69 - 50
2013-12-07 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 65 - 67
2013-12-14 vs Loyola Marymount Lions W 80 - 73
2013-12-21 vs Southeastern Fires W 89 - 46
2013-12-22 @ UCF Knights L 62 - 90
2013-12-29 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 62 - 73
2014-01-02 vs UIC Flames W 87 - 72
2014-01-04 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 70 - 75
2014-01-10 vs Wright State Raiders L 45 - 62
2014-01-15 @ Detroit Mercy Titans W 78 - 70
2014-01-18 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 75 - 62
2014-01-23 @ Youngstown State Penguins W 74 - 71
2014-01-25 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 50 - 69
2014-01-29 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 75 - 60
2014-02-01 @ UIC Flames W 70 - 46
2014-02-07 vs Detroit Mercy Titans L 57 - 59
2014-02-09 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 63 - 60
2014-02-15 @ Milwaukee Panthers W 77 - 62
2014-02-20 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 53 - 67
2014-02-22 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 68 - 66
2014-02-25 @ Wright State Raiders L 58 - 67
2014-03-01 vs Cleveland State Vikings L 52 - 63
2014-03-04 vs UIC Flames W 73 - 63
2014-03-07 vs Milwaukee Panthers L 57 - 74
2014-03-18 vs Columbia Lions L 56 - 58

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
LaVonte Dority LaVonte Dority G 30 31.4 15.6 2.6 2.3 0.7 0.0 2.2 3.9 15.1 48 27 1.8 2.5 47.5 42.6 88.1 -0.06 158.7 55.9
Alec Peters Alec Peters F 30 29.9 12.2 4.9 1.5 0.8 0.1 1.9 4.0 13.5 107 27 4.0 5.8 49.6 40.0 73.3 3.46 136.7 60.3
Jordan Coleman Jordan Coleman G 27 20.4 7.7 3.3 0.9 0.4 0.5 1.2 2.2 9.4 40 25 1.6 3.5 36.7 22.7 79.6 -0.51 126.9 40.8
Bobby Capobianco Bobby Capobianco F 29 18.0 6.6 3.8 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.4 1.6 9.2 -27 26 -1.0 -2.7 48.9 38.1 71.4 -3.69 161.8 57.4
Lexus Williams Lexus Williams G 30 24.1 6.5 2.2 2.5 1.1 0.1 1.8 2.0 8.5 81 27 3.0 5.7 36.1 31.0 72.0 0.24 135.4 43.4
Jubril Adekoya Jubril Adekoya F 30 19.0 5.8 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 1.3 1.8 8.0 92 26 3.5 7.9 48.1 23.1 61.9 2.42 136.8 50.9
Keith Carter Keith Carter G 19 18.3 5.3 1.6 2.3 1.0 0.2 1.6 2.3 6.4 -29 17 -1.7 -4.4 41.9 31.6 66.7 -2.98 93.4 48.8
Moussa Gueye Moussa Gueye C 30 16.5 4.6 4.7 0.4 0.4 2.0 2.1 1.0 8.9 48 27 1.8 4.9 61.3 0 83.3 -0.62 176.0 61.3
Vashil Fernandez Vashil Fernandez C 30 19.4 4.3 5.1 0.2 0.4 1.7 1.1 1.2 9.4 48 26 1.8 4.1 50.0 0 34.6 -0.08 110.4 50.0
David Chadwick David Chadwick F 4 7.8 4.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.2 1.8 12 8 1.5 10.8 53.8 33.3 50.0 -0.89 61.2 61.5
Clay Yeo Clay Yeo G 25 12.9 4.2 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.9 5.0 1 23 0.0 0.2 59.1 61.5 0 -3.28 236.4 77.3
Nick Davidson Nick Davidson G 12 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.2 19 7 2.7 27.9 50.0 66.7 100.0 0.5 112.7 62.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG