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Valparaiso Beacons

Also known as: Valparaiso Beacons
Program History

2022 Team Stats (2 games)

59.5
PPG
70.1
Opp
+1.4
Margin
38.1%
FG%
25.0%
3P%
76.2%
FT%
37.0
RPG
9.0
APG
11.0
TO
74.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1101 (#203) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1068 (#261) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 983 (#483) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +19.7 (#232) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +9.5 (#215) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -9.1 More → 0.249 (#197) NetEff -9.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 69.5 More → 0.487 (#275) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.681 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.638 (#214) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 28 More → 1005 (#215) RD 152 | GP 28

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Toledo Rockets L 61 - 69
2021-11-17 @ Stanford Cardinal L 60 - 74
2021-11-22 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 78 - 70
2021-11-23 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 61 - 64
2021-11-27 vs Trinity (IL) Trolls W 106 - 69
2021-12-02 @ Drake Bulldogs L 66 - 73
2021-12-05 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 71 - 60
2021-12-07 vs East-West University Phantoms W 101 - 58
2021-12-11 vs Charlotte 49ers L 67 - 68
2021-12-20 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 67 - 55
2021-12-22 vs William & Mary Tribe W 88 - 66
2022-01-02 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 81 - 76
2022-01-11 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 74 - 81
2022-01-15 vs Missouri State Bears L 57 - 74
2022-01-19 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 83 - 80
2022-01-22 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 75 - 73
2022-01-26 vs Bradley Braves L 56 - 71
2022-01-30 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 55 - 77
2022-02-05 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 79 - 72
2022-02-09 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 75 - 78
2022-02-12 @ Missouri State Bears L 66 - 84
2022-02-16 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 69 - 71
2022-02-19 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 72 - 56
2022-02-21 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 74 - 69
2022-02-23 vs Drake Bulldogs L 65 - 71
2022-02-26 @ Bradley Braves L 55 - 79
2022-03-03 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 81 - 59
2022-03-04 @ Missouri State Bears L 58 - 67

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Taylor K. Taylor G 16 35.8 14.4 2.7 1.0 1.0 0.1 2.1 3.0 14.1 10 0.3 0.5 43.8 40.7 70.0 0.2 219.5 55.2
Ben Krikke Ben Krikke - 14 30.4 13.9 5.1 1.2 0.6 1.1 1.6 3.9 16.4 16 0.6 0.8 43.6 16.7 77.8 0.46 154.2 44.5
K. King K. King - 21 32.1 13.8 4.3 1.3 1.0 0.4 1.8 1.0 18.0 28 1.2 1.6 27.3 0.0 75.0 0.75 608.2 27.3
M. McMillan M. McMillan F 1 22.0 12.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 8.0 -102 -3.3 -7.0 40.0 50.0 100.0 0.03 55.1 50.0
L. Baez L. Baez - 1 35.0 12.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 17.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.76 0 0
T. Anderson T. Anderson G 11 29.2 10.8 4.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 3.0 14.5 -123 -4.1 -6.4 54.5 25.0 81.8 0.05 157.2 59.1
S. Hemphill S. Hemphill F 2 24.5 10.5 7.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 4.0 15.0 93 2.9 4.5 37.5 0 100.0 0.44 118.2 37.5
T. Kithier T. Kithier F 12 25.6 10.2 6.8 2.2 0.7 0.8 2.2 4.1 14.4 20 0.9 1.5 63.3 0.0 58.8 0.47 108.0 63.3
S. Edwards S. Edwards - 14 24.6 9.4 3.6 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.4 4.0 10.4 - - - 35.7 26.2 71.4 0.23 111.7 45.5
J. Delaire J. Delaire - 1 13.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 -93 -2.9 -5.0 60.0 0.0 50.0 -0.43 59.2 60.0
T. Murphy T. Murphy F 2 28.5 8.0 6.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 1.0 2.5 14.0 214 5.9 8.4 80.0 66.7 0.0 1.42 147.1 100.0
J. Pearson J. Pearson - 1 16.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Dallas D. Dallas - 1 26.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Young K. Young - 4 9.5 3.5 1.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.5 3.0 2.0 106 3.9 6.8 33.3 33.3 0 1.33 58.3 45.8
S. Wilbar S. Wilbar - 2 17.5 3.0 5.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 10.5 -49 -1.8 -6.2 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
P. Ruedinger P. Ruedinger G 10 23.7 2.9 1.7 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.5 1.0 5.9 -8 -0.4 -0.8 40.0 16.7 50.0 0.23 133.3 45.0
C. Barrett C. Barrett - 10 9.8 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 3.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 0.08 225.0 0.0
J. Hedstrom J. Hedstrom - 11 5.9 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.3 3.2 1 0.1 0.5 33.3 100.0 66.7 0.05 257.1 50.0
L. Morrill L. Morrill - 4 3.8 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
E. Gordon E. Gordon G 19 18.4 2.0 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.6 5.1 -51 -1.6 -3.3 16.7 0.0 75.0 -0.35 138.1 16.7
S. Beskind S. Beskind G 1 12.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -42 -1.4 -9.5 0.0 0 100.0 -0.36 53.2 0.0
B. Pappas B. Pappas F 1 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Lockett D. Lockett - 1 8.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Darius Deaveiro Darius Deaveiro G 25 17.1 1.9 2.1 1.9 0.8 0.0 0.8 0.6 5.2 -22 -0.8 -1.8 50.0 33.3 50.0 -0.12 128.8 56.2
T. Woodyard T. Woodyard - 15 6.5 1.2 1.4 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 2.5 0 0.0 0.0 75.0 66.7 0 0.1 225.0 100.0
E. Freese-Vilien E. Freese-Vilien - 6 3.5 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.5 -4 -0.6 -5.1 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
J. Ognacevic J. Ognacevic F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -117 -3.8 -7.7 - - - -0.69 - -
C. Palesse C. Palesse G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
W. Keller W. Keller F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Begovich D. Begovich G 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Hill J. Hill G 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 345 10.1 13.4 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
C. Kimble C. Kimble - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
T. Ferrell T. Ferrell - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Montgomery D. Montgomery - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.47 0 0
A. Brown A. Brown - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG