Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -4.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -17 (57-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Clay * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| I. Mosley * | 33 | 13-21 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 21 | - |
| J. Black * | 32 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| L. Patterson * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| G. Prim * | 28 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| I. Haney | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Minnett | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Hervey | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. King * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. DeAveiro | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
* = starter