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VMI Keydets

Also known as: VMI Keydets
Program History

2024 Team Stats (32 games)

68.9
PPG
82.6
Opp
-13.8
Margin
42.3%
FG%
31.2%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
36.6
RPG
10.5
APG
15.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.7
Adj PPG
83.6
Adj Opp PPG
#359
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 566 (#354) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 620 (#359) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +77 elo More โ†’ 813 (#358) HCA +77 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -18.8 (#359) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.3 More โ†’ -20.8 (#362) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.059 (#361) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -25.2 More โ†’ 0.051 (#359) AdjNet -25.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -25.4 More โ†’ 0.050 (#359) AdjNet -25.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 83.6 More โ†’ 0.164 (#359) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 83.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 83.0 More โ†’ 0.177 (#361) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 83.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.114 (#358) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.116 (#358) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 166 | GP 29 More โ†’ 626 (#358) RD 166 | GP 29

2024 Schedule & Results

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brennan Watkins Brennan Watkins - 22 30.4 15.1 2.1 3.0 0.7 0.0 3.0 12.0 6.0 -212 20 -10.6 -13.9 41.4 37.0 87.0 -0.43 55.9 50.4
Tyran Cook Tyran Cook G 32 28.5 12.7 2.8 2.4 0.6 0.1 2.5 12.1 3.9 -406 29 -14.0 -20.0 41.0 34.0 68.0 -4.04 48.1 45.6
Koree Cotton Koree Cotton G 12 22.8 12.2 3.5 1.4 0.8 0.6 3.6 10.8 4.1 -38 11 -3.5 -6.0 40.0 33.9 79.3 -1.64 51.5 47.7
Taeshaud Jackson II Taeshaud Jackson II - 31 29.6 10.6 10.4 1.2 1.3 0.4 2.0 8.4 13.4 -309 28 -11.0 -15.0 44.6 33.0 63.4 -2.55 53.9 50.8
Stephen Olowoniyi Stephen Olowoniyi F 32 18.4 7.8 5.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.2 6.2 7.1 -205 29 -7.1 -15.7 55.0 14.3 49.2 -0.8 55.3 55.2
Dj Nussbaum Dj Nussbaum C 31 23.0 6.8 3.8 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.5 5.5 4.8 -229 28 -8.2 -14.5 55.6 0.0 88.0 1.32 58.3 55.6
Devin Butler Devin Butler - 32 24.0 6.4 2.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.2 5.9 3.1 -312 29 -10.8 -18.3 32.8 31.1 83.0 -4.04 48.6 43.7
Jaren Morton Jaren Morton - 2 6.5 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 3.5 - - - - 80.0 75.0 50.0 -0.85 102.0 110.0
Aj Clark Aj Clark G 21 22.4 4.0 3.0 2.1 1.7 0.4 2.1 3.7 5.3 -167 19 -8.8 -16.4 37.2 7.4 67.6 -1.5 45.1 38.5
Maurice Wright Jr. Maurice Wright Jr. G 26 13.2 3.5 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.1 4.2 1.4 -156 24 -6.5 -20.8 30.3 32.0 58.8 -3.07 39.5 37.6
Corey Chesley Corey Chesley - 31 18.6 3.4 2.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.7 3.5 2.1 -246 28 -8.8 -19.6 34.5 21.4 58.3 -3.18 42.1 38.6
Robert Peters Robert Peters F 18 9.1 1.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.0 -138 16 -8.6 -38.8 44.4 21.4 50.0 -7.32 51.0 50.0
Jake Johnston Jake Johnston - 6 1.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 -6 5 -1.2 -24.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.35 8.5 0.0
Jacob Adair Jacob Adair - 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.19 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG