Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | VMI Keydets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 88.6% | 11.4% | -11.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: VMI Keydets +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Durr * | 39 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| AJ Smith * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| E. Morgan * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Q. Millora-Brown * | 29 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Marcus Pigram * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Keynan Davis | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tony Carpio | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Colby Mcallister | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Quinn Nielsen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kam Roberts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Davis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Watkins * | 35 | 5-17 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Tyran Cook * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Devin Butler * | 28 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Taeshaud Jackson * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| DJ Nussbaum * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Stephen Olowoniyi | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| AJ Clark | 20 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Corey Chesley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Maurice Wright Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Robert Peters | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter