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VMI Keydets

2011 Team Stats (2 games)

100.0
PPG
71.0
Opp
+29.0
Margin
48.7%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
67.5%
FT%
46.5
RPG
19.5
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
80.1
Adj PPG
82.9
Adj Opp PPG
#208
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 932 (#203) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 967 (#193) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 1019 (#138) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -3.2 (#213) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -3.4 (#215) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.479 (#173) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.8 More โ†’ 0.339 (#223) AdjNet -5.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.9 More โ†’ 0.336 (#223) AdjNet -5.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 82.9 More โ†’ 0.437 (#208) AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 82.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 79.3 More โ†’ 0.476 (#192) AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 79.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.442 (#195) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.450 (#193) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 160 | GP 23 More โ†’ 976 (#177) RD 160 | GP 23

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Randolph College Wildcats W 106 - 65
2010-11-14 @ UMBC Retrievers W 94 - 77
2010-11-16 vs Virginia-Wise Highland Cavaliers W 120 - 88
2010-11-18 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 65 - 55
2010-11-23 vs Southern Virginia Knights W 94 - 78
2010-11-27 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 66 - 82
2010-11-29 vs Central Pennsylvania College Knights W 151 - 92
2010-12-02 vs Winthrop Eagles L 82 - 88
2010-12-04 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose L 78 - 92
2010-12-08 @ VCU Rams L 80 - 86
2010-12-11 vs Longwood Lancers W 114 - 82
2010-12-19 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 70 - 98
2010-12-31 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 83 - 72
2011-01-02 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 97 - 76
2011-01-06 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 87 - 109
2011-01-08 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 80 - 88
2011-01-15 @ High Point Panthers W 97 - 91
2011-01-20 @ Liberty Flames L 82 - 100
2011-01-27 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 85 - 66
2011-01-29 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 87 - 100
2011-02-03 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 90 - 101
2011-02-15 vs Liberty Flames W 79 - 69
2011-02-19 @ Morgan State Bears L 62 - 67
2011-02-24 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose W 80 - 74
2011-02-26 @ Winthrop Eagles W 89 - 85
2011-03-01 vs Winthrop Eagles W 78 - 73
2011-03-03 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 81 - 89

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Austin Kenon Austin Kenon G 13 31.2 20.5 3.8 3.2 1.0 0.0 1.8 0.6 26.0 37 20 1.9 3.0 37.5 60.0 100.0 1.51 1362.7 56.2
Stan Okoye Stan Okoye F 14 30.3 15.6 7.4 2.1 1.2 0.9 1.9 2.7 22.7 -6 21 -0.3 -0.5 60.5 11.1 90.0 -0.25 258.3 61.8
Keith Gabriel Keith Gabriel G 14 23.2 13.4 2.9 0.9 1.5 0.8 2.3 3.1 14.1 -52 21 -2.5 -4.8 44.2 42.1 64.3 -3.22 191.2 53.5
D.J. Covington D.J. Covington F 11 27.0 9.0 5.5 0.5 0.4 1.9 1.5 0.7 15.1 47 18 2.6 5.2 62.5 0 0 0.79 618.8 62.5
Rodney Glasgow Rodney Glasgow G 14 24.9 8.4 1.4 3.6 0.6 0.0 1.1 1.8 11.0 -10 19 -0.5 -1.0 36.0 40.0 87.5 -1.17 206.9 48.0
Ron Burks Ron Burks F 14 25.5 6.5 3.9 2.9 1.4 0.4 2.5 2.0 10.6 33 16 2.1 3.8 28.6 35.0 50.0 1.27 152.9 41.1
Michael Sparks Michael Sparks G 14 20.1 6.4 2.8 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.5 8.5 18 21 0.9 2.1 38.1 37.5 87.5 -0.84 183.5 52.4
Nick Gore Nick Gore F 14 16.9 6.2 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.7 1.9 7.7 11 21 0.5 1.4 61.5 41.2 80.0 -0.98 154.3 75.0
Stephen Sargent Stephen Sargent C 3 12.7 5.3 5.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.7 8.0 -36 10 -3.6 -16.1 63.6 0 40.0 -3.83 60.6 63.6
Wayne Whiting Wayne Whiting C 9 5.9 1.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.4 -14 18 -0.8 -6.8 33.3 0 0.0 -1.57 130.8 33.3
Drew Absher Drew Absher G 2 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 11 7 1.6 29.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.41 100.0 0.0
Joe Carr Joe Carr G 7 4.4 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 1.4 21 8 2.6 19.2 0.0 0.0 0 1.67 250.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG