Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | -10.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.2% | 11.8% | -11.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -17 (77-94). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ron Burks | 35 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Stan Okoye | 34 | 9-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Rodney Glasgow | 32 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Keith Gabriel | 28 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 7-11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Nick Gore | 28 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Michael Sparks | 24 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Stephen Sargent | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Wayne Whiting | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joe Carr | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris De La Rosa | 33 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Laurence Jolicoeur | 32 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Travis King | 31 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Justin Fry | 28 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Chase Plummer | 23 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Adrian Satchell | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jamar Wertz | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Brian Neller | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Bakari Smith | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jake Wasco | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter