VCU

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Also known as: VCU Rams, VCU

Program History

Coach: Shaka Smart

2014 Team Stats (11 games)

73.2

PPG

63.8

Opp

+9.4

Margin

42.8%

FG%

31.9%

3P%

63.9%

FT%

38.5

RPG

12.8

APG

11.6

Est. poss./game

76.0

Adj PPG

62.9

Adj Opp PPG

#27

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1316 (#10)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1260 (#29)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More →	1099 (#51)	HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More →	+13.9 (#30)	HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More →	+14.6 (#17)	HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.833 (#23)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.1 More →	0.920 (#27)	AdjNet +21.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.2 More →	0.920 (#27)	AdjNet +21.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.0 \| AdjD 62.9 More →	0.767 (#27)	AdjO 76.0 \| AdjD 62.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.2 \| AdjD 63.0 More →	0.716 (#17)	AdjO 73.2 \| AdjD 63.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.831 (#22)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.823 (#20)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 \| GP 35 More →	1284 (#22)	RD 109 \| GP 35

2014 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2013-11-08	vs	Illinois State Redbirds	W	96 - 58
2013-11-12	@	Virginia Cavaliers	W	59 - 56
2013-11-16	vs	Winthrop Eagles	W	92 - 71
2013-11-21	vs	Florida State Seminoles	L	67 - 85
2013-11-22	vs	Long Beach State Beach	W	73 - 67
2013-11-24	vs	Georgetown Hoyas	L	80 - 84
2013-11-29	vs	Northeastern Huskies	W	79 - 66
2013-12-01	@	Belmont Bruins	W	81 - 68
2013-12-05	vs	Eastern Kentucky Colonels	W	71 - 68
2013-12-08	vs	Old Dominion Monarchs	W	69 - 48
2013-12-14	@	Northern Iowa Panthers	L	68 - 77
2013-12-17	vs	Wofford Terriers	W	72 - 57
2013-12-21	@	Virginia Tech Hokies	W	82 - 52
2013-12-28	vs	Boston College Eagles	W	69 - 50
2014-01-03	vs	Stony Brook Seawolves	W	81 - 63
2014-01-09	vs	George Mason Patriots	W	71 - 57
2014-01-14	@	George Washington Revolutionaries	L	66 - 76
2014-01-18	vs	Duquesne Dukes	W	80 - 65
2014-01-22	@	Dayton Flyers	W	80 - 66
2014-01-25	@	La Salle Explorers	W	97 - 89
2014-01-29	vs	Fordham Rams	W	76 - 60
2014-02-01	vs	Richmond Spiders	W	81 - 70
2014-02-06	vs	Rhode Island Rams	W	68 - 52
2014-02-08	@	Saint Joseph's Hawks	L	62 - 69
2014-02-12	vs	George Washington Revolutionaries	W	92 - 75
2014-02-15	@	Saint Louis Billikens	L	62 - 64
2014-02-21	@	Massachusetts Minutemen	L	75 - 80
2014-02-27	@	Fordham Rams	W	85 - 66
2014-03-01	vs	Saint Louis Billikens	W	67 - 56
2014-03-06	@	Richmond Spiders	W	56 - 50
2014-03-08	vs	St. Bonaventure Bonnies	W	86 - 67
2014-03-14	vs	Richmond Spiders	W	71 - 53
2014-03-15	vs	George Washington Revolutionaries	W	74 - 55
2014-03-16	vs	Saint Joseph's Hawks	L	61 - 65
2014-03-21	vs	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks	L	75 - 77

2014 Roster

Show Alumni If everyone stayed four years

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Treveon Graham	G	28	27.5	15.7	6.8	1.9	0.9	0.1	1.9	5.8	17.8	229	26	8.8	14.3	42.9	25.7	70.9	4.95	117.3	48.5
Juvonte Reddic	F	28	27.1	11.2	8.1	0.6	1.3	1.2	1.6	3.6	17.3	172	26	6.6	10.5	48.5	75.0	50.0	0.11	133.8	50.0
Rob Brandenberg	G	28	26.3	10.2	2.0	1.5	1.4	0.4	0.9	3.7	11.0	119	26	4.6	7.6	40.8	38.0	75.0	-1.42	129.5	50.0
Melvin Johnson	G	26	22.1	9.9	2.3	1.3	0.9	0.1	1.7	3.3	9.6	161	24	6.7	14.1	35.3	33.3	66.7	2.91	145.0	43.5
Briante Weber	G	28	28.2	9.3	4.1	3.6	3.4	0.2	1.8	3.5	15.5	241	26	9.3	14.7	49.0	33.3	75.0	5.5	112.9	50.5
JeQuan Lewis	G	28	16.0	5.8	1.4	1.9	1.1	0.0	1.8	1.5	6.9	31	26	1.2	3.2	40.5	21.4	73.1	-2.58	151.6	44.0
Jordan Burgess	G	24	21.5	4.5	2.7	1.0	0.9	0.4	1.1	2.8	5.6	144	24	6.0	11.7	25.4	25.8	53.8	2.48	74.9	31.3
Mo Alie-Cox	F	28	15.1	3.9	3.9	0.3	0.4	1.5	0.5	1.3	8.1	33	26	1.3	4.1	58.3	100.0	61.9	-1.24	120.5	59.7
Terrance Shannon	F	16	11.4	3.2	2.8	0.4	0.9	0.9	0.8	1.4	6.0	47	15	3.1	13.1	45.5	0.0	33.3	-1.12	93.5	45.5
Jarred Guest	F	28	9.4	2.0	2.7	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.5	1.1	3.9	18	25	0.7	3.5	38.7	100.0	75.0	-0.4	85.5	40.3
Doug Brooks	G	20	4.6	1.8	0.6	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.8	1.9	-18	17	-1.1	-8.4	23.5	26.7	100.0	-3.98	95.9	35.3
Jairus Lyles	G	18	2.9	0.7	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.2	0.3	1.0	-27	18	-1.5	-23.9	16.7	0.0	0	-3.71	108.3	16.7
Torey Burston	G	13	1.2	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	-12	13	-0.9	-36.1	0.0	0	0.0	-1.64	17.4	0.0
Emerson Burk	C	6	1.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.2	-3	9	-0.3	-19.3	0	0	0	-1.07	0	0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG