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VCU

Also known as: VCU Rams, VCU
Program History

2012 Team Stats (4 games)

66.0
PPG
65.5
Opp
+0.5
Margin
42.7%
FG%
30.5%
3P%
70.5%
FT%
29.8
RPG
11.5
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
60.3
Adj Opp PPG
#50
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1409 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1260 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1184 (#8) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +9.2 (#52) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +11.2 (#34) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.801 (#36) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.8 More โ†’ 0.831 (#56) AdjNet +13.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.9 More โ†’ 0.832 (#56) AdjNet +13.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 60.3 More โ†’ 0.691 (#50) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 60.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 59.2 More โ†’ 0.691 (#26) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 59.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.802 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.802 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1286 (#19) RD 113 | GP 33

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 63 - 57
2011-11-17 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 54 - 69
2011-11-18 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 60 - 73
2011-11-20 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 69 - 64
2011-11-23 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 68 - 45
2011-11-27 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 64 - 72
2011-11-30 vs South Florida Bulls W 69 - 46
2011-12-04 @ George Washington Colonials W 75 - 60
2011-12-09 vs Richmond Spiders W 73 - 51
2011-12-17 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 87 - 64
2011-12-20 vs UAB Blazers W 68 - 49
2011-12-22 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 80 - 68
2011-12-29 @ Akron Zips W 76 - 75
2012-01-02 @ Hofstra Pride W 80 - 63
2012-01-04 vs Georgia State Panthers L 53 - 55
2012-01-08 @ Drexel Dragons L 58 - 64
2012-01-14 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 68 - 55
2012-01-19 vs William & Mary Tribe W 69 - 68
2012-01-23 vs Hofstra Pride W 61 - 49
2012-01-25 @ Towson Tigers W 67 - 42
2012-01-28 @ Georgia State Panthers W 59 - 58
2012-02-01 @ William & Mary Tribe W 87 - 78
2012-02-04 vs Northeastern Huskies W 59 - 56
2012-02-08 vs Towson Tigers W 66 - 43
2012-02-14 @ George Mason Patriots L 61 - 62
2012-02-17 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 77 - 68
2012-02-22 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 63 - 59
2012-02-25 vs George Mason Patriots W 89 - 77
2012-03-03 vs Northeastern Huskies W 75 - 65
2012-03-04 vs George Mason Patriots W 74 - 64
2012-03-05 @ Drexel Dragons W 59 - 56
2012-03-15 @ Wichita State Shockers W 62 - 59
2012-03-17 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 61 - 63

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bradford Burgess Bradford Burgess G-F 33 32.5 13.6 4.8 1.5 1.0 0.3 1.1 4.7 15.4 158 28 5.6 7.7 34.8 34.4 84.0 2.72 126.6 44.8
Juvonte Reddic Juvonte Reddic F 33 27.0 10.6 6.5 0.5 1.3 1.1 1.6 3.4 14.9 116 28 4.1 6.6 51.3 0.0 60.5 -0.83 132.7 51.3
Troy Daniels Troy Daniels G 33 24.0 9.9 3.4 0.5 1.2 0.1 0.9 3.0 11.2 94 28 3.4 6.2 32.3 32.9 64.3 -0.14 156.0 44.4
Rob Brandenberg Rob Brandenberg G 33 26.5 9.6 2.8 1.8 1.2 0.6 1.3 3.2 11.5 107 28 3.8 6.5 32.7 32.1 69.4 0.35 129.0 41.1
Darius Theus Darius Theus G 33 31.2 8.0 2.2 5.0 2.1 0.2 2.2 3.1 12.1 149 28 5.3 7.6 40.8 4.5 73.1 3.11 115.8 41.3
Treveon Graham Treveon Graham G 33 16.3 6.7 3.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 1.0 2.0 8.3 86 28 3.1 7.9 35.4 24.1 64.0 1.9 127.0 40.8
Briante Weber Briante Weber G 33 18.6 4.8 3.0 1.6 2.1 0.2 1.2 2.0 8.5 79 28 2.8 6.4 46.2 38.9 68.4 -0.25 108.4 51.5
D.J. Haley D.J. Haley C 33 15.5 3.3 3.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 6.8 48 28 1.7 5.1 59.4 0 42.9 -0.53 133.4 59.4
Jarred Guest Jarred Guest F 18 4.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.8 6 12 0.5 5.3 0 0 100.0 -1.26 340.9 0
Reco McCarter Reco McCarter F 8 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 - - - - 50.0 100.0 50.0 -0.84 104.2 75.0
Teddy Okereafor Teddy Okereafor G 25 5.6 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.4 1.3 0 19 0.0 0.0 36.4 0.0 50.0 -3.49 82.3 36.4
Heath Houston Heath Houston F 9 4.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.2 - - - - 100.0 0 0 0.47 300.0 100.0
David Hinton David Hinton F 18 3.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 -1 16 -0.1 -1.1 0.0 0 0.0 -1.68 102.5 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG