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Utah Valley

Also known as: Utah Valley Wolverines
Program History

2019 Team Stats (3 games)

72.3
PPG
69.0
Opp
+3.3
Margin
51.0%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
67.3%
FT%
35.3
RPG
10.3
APG
16.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.7
Adj PPG
69.8
Adj Opp PPG
#115
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1144 (#71) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 1088 (#55) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +3.8 (#121) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +3.7 (#108) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.696 (#62) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.2 More โ†’ 0.618 (#128) AdjNet +4.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.1 More โ†’ 0.616 (#128) AdjNet +4.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 69.8 More โ†’ 0.587 (#115) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 69.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 69.3 More โ†’ 0.591 (#75) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 69.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.643 (#88) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.644 (#80) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1161 (#63) RD 110 | GP 33

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Westminster (UT) Griffins W 96 - 71
2018-11-09 @ BYU Cougars L 65 - 75
2018-11-11 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 63 - 92
2018-11-16 @ Utah State Aggies L 46 - 65
2018-11-19 @ Hartford Hawks W 72 - 65
2018-11-21 vs Long Beach State Beach W 87 - 72
2018-11-24 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 74 - 68
2018-11-28 vs Western State Colorado University Mountaineers W 82 - 59
2018-12-01 vs Denver Pioneers W 98 - 75
2018-12-06 @ Arizona Wildcats L 69 - 80
2018-12-08 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 98 - 78
2018-12-15 @ Weber State Wildcats W 75 - 63
2018-12-19 vs Idaho State Bengals W 88 - 77
2018-12-22 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 85 - 79
2018-12-29 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 64 - 60
2019-01-03 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 60 - 71
2019-01-05 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 71 - 73
2019-01-12 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 88 - 78
2019-01-17 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 82 - 61
2019-01-19 vs New Mexico State Aggies L 78 - 83
2019-01-24 @ Kansas City Roos W 75 - 67
2019-01-26 @ Chicago State Cougars W 74 - 60
2019-01-30 vs California Baptist Lancers W 79 - 62
2019-02-14 @ New Mexico State Aggies L 77 - 84
2019-02-16 @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 76 - 64
2019-02-21 vs Chicago State Cougars W 103 - 71
2019-02-23 vs Kansas City Roos W 79 - 67
2019-02-26 @ Seattle U Redhawks W 77 - 68
2019-03-02 @ California Baptist Lancers W 64 - 63
2019-03-07 vs Grand Canyon Lopes W 82 - 70
2019-03-09 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 76 - 61
2019-03-14 vs Kansas City Roos W 71 - 64
2019-03-15 vs Grand Canyon Lopes L 74 - 78
2019-03-19 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 92 - 84
2019-03-25 @ South Florida Bulls L 57 - 66

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jake Toolson Jake Toolson G 32 33.7 14.9 4.6 2.3 0.5 0.2 2.4 2.6 17.6 152 32 4.8 6.0 43.9 32.4 66.7 -2.49 269.8 51.2
Conner Toolson Conner Toolson G 29 32.0 13.2 3.1 1.0 1.5 0.2 1.1 3.6 14.4 207 29 7.1 9.1 49.5 37.3 72.7 3.53 177.1 58.7
Ben Nakwaasah Ben Nakwaasah G 32 24.9 8.8 2.7 3.1 0.7 0.1 2.1 2.0 11.2 131 32 4.1 6.7 34.9 36.1 73.3 0.33 201.1 45.2
Baylee Steele Baylee Steele C 32 20.4 8.7 7.3 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.3 1.4 14.6 42 32 1.3 2.7 53.3 0.0 66.7 -3.78 239.7 53.3
Isaiah White Isaiah White G 30 25.1 8.6 4.7 0.9 0.8 0.6 1.5 1.7 12.4 185 30 6.2 10.1 35.3 23.5 69.2 3.39 205.8 39.2
Connor MacDougall Connor MacDougall F 20 15.1 8.2 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.1 10.0 67 17 3.9 10.3 68.2 0 72.2 -1.21 272.4 68.2
TJ Washington TJ Washington G 32 23.4 7.8 2.1 3.7 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.7 9.9 200 31 6.5 11.6 42.6 31.2 52.6 3.43 199.6 47.2
Richard Harward Richard Harward C 26 14.0 6.6 4.7 0.5 0.1 0.7 0.5 1.2 10.9 112 24 4.7 12.6 70.0 0 62.5 2.81 232.2 70.0
Wyatt Lowell Wyatt Lowell - 32 15.4 4.4 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.9 1.1 6.1 67 31 2.2 6.0 37.1 37.0 50.0 -0.52 195.1 51.4
Hayden Schenck Hayden Schenck G 11 14.5 2.9 1.9 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.3 5.9 40 12 3.3 10.3 66.7 0.0 100.0 -0.28 283.7 66.7
Drew Cotton Drew Cotton G 20 5.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 -36 19 -1.9 -17.3 0.0 0.0 0 -5.32 20.0 0.0
Cache Fields Cache Fields - 9 2.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.4 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG