Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +29 (92-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Toolson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Jake Toolson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| TJ Washington * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Baylee Steele * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Isaiah White * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Wyatt Lowell | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Drew Cotton | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Connor MacDougall | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Richard Harward | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ben Nakwaasah | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Ford * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 43 | - |
| Malik Fitts * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Tanner Krebs * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Hunter * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Elijah Thomas * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Dan Fotu | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tommy Kuhse | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Jock Perry | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Matthias Tass | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Alex Mudronja | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Clark | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quinn Clinton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter