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Utah Utes

2013 Team Stats (4 games)

64.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
46.8%
FG%
40.4%
3P%
79.2%
FT%
27.3
RPG
14.5
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.2
Adj PPG
59.7
Adj Opp PPG
#115
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1096 (#112) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1020 (#161) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1009 (#162) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +4.2 (#112) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +6.8 (#82) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.413 (#209) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.2 More โ†’ 0.696 (#107) AdjNet +7.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.3 More โ†’ 0.699 (#106) AdjNet +7.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 59.7 More โ†’ 0.580 (#115) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 59.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 61.4 More โ†’ 0.546 (#121) AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 61.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.623 (#99) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.617 (#102) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1085 (#111) RD 128 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Willamette Bearcats W 104 - 47
2012-11-16 vs Sacramento State Hornets L 71 - 74
2012-11-21 vs Idaho State Bengals W 57 - 46
2012-11-23 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 67 - 51
2012-11-24 vs Wright State Raiders W 66 - 54
2012-11-28 @ SMU Mustangs L 55 - 62
2012-11-30 @ Texas State Bobcats W 74 - 69
2012-12-05 vs Boise State Broncos W 76 - 55
2012-12-08 @ BYU Cougars L 58 - 61
2012-12-18 vs SMU Mustangs W 62 - 53
2012-12-21 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors L 71 - 76
2012-12-28 vs College of Idaho Yotes W 72 - 38
2013-01-02 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 54 - 55
2013-01-05 @ Arizona Wildcats L 57 - 60
2013-01-10 vs UCLA Bruins L 53 - 57
2013-01-12 vs USC Trojans L 59 - 76
2013-01-16 @ Washington State Cougars L 65 - 75
2013-01-19 @ Washington Huskies W 74 - 65
2013-01-24 vs California Golden Bears L 57 - 62
2013-01-27 vs Stanford Cardinal L 56 - 87
2013-02-02 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 58 - 55
2013-02-06 @ Oregon State Beavers L 64 - 82
2013-02-09 @ Oregon Ducks L 64 - 73
2013-02-13 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 60 - 55
2013-02-17 vs Arizona Wildcats L 64 - 68
2013-02-21 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 50 - 60
2013-02-28 @ California Golden Bears L 46 - 64
2013-03-03 @ Stanford Cardinal L 66 - 84
2013-03-07 vs Oregon State Beavers W 72 - 61
2013-03-09 vs Oregon Ducks W 72 - 62
2013-03-13 @ USC Trojans W 69 - 66
2013-03-14 @ California Golden Bears W 79 - 69
2013-03-15 @ Oregon Ducks L 45 - 64

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jarred DuBois Jarred DuBois C 32 30.5 12.4 2.7 3.1 0.8 0.0 2.2 3.3 13.5 -28 22 -1.3 -1.8 43.8 44.1 92.3 -0.86 155.6 51.0
Jordan Loveridge Jordan Loveridge F 32 31.7 12.1 7.0 2.0 0.8 0.4 2.0 3.6 16.7 -30 21 -1.4 -1.9 43.1 41.7 79.4 -0.35 147.8 49.6
Jason Washburn Jason Washburn C 33 25.8 11.9 6.8 0.7 0.3 1.5 1.6 3.7 15.9 -3 22 -0.1 -0.2 51.6 100.0 87.0 3.28 148.7 52.5
Brandon Taylor Brandon Taylor G 29 20.8 6.9 1.6 2.0 0.9 0.0 1.7 2.2 7.4 -43 19 -2.3 -4.5 39.1 35.5 72.7 -0.15 144.5 47.7
Glen Dean Glen Dean G 33 25.4 5.5 2.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 1.5 1.1 7.6 -3 22 -0.1 -0.2 29.7 34.6 80.0 1.77 219.8 41.9
Dallin Bachynski Dallin Bachynski C 27 11.1 3.7 3.4 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.6 7.1 24 18 1.3 5.5 41.2 50.0 88.9 1.86 240.9 44.1
Cedric Martin Cedric Martin C 30 27.2 3.7 2.3 2.0 1.1 0.3 1.0 1.0 7.3 -10 21 -0.5 -0.7 36.7 30.0 64.3 0.36 154.9 46.7
Jeremy Olsen Jeremy Olsen C 23 9.0 3.4 2.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 5.0 -39 15 -2.6 -10.5 53.8 0 0 -1.13 150.0 53.8
Justin Seymour Justin Seymour G 25 11.6 3.3 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.0 0.5 5.0 -9 16 -0.6 -2.5 53.8 40.0 100.0 -0.03 299.0 61.5
Dakarai Tucker Dakarai Tucker F 25 11.1 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.7 4.4 -8 16 -0.5 -2.2 47.1 50.0 0.0 1.0 223.6 64.7
Aaron Dotson Aaron Dotson C 10 17.3 2.7 1.3 1.8 0.6 0.2 1.8 1.2 3.6 -18 7 -2.6 -6.8 25.0 0.0 33.3 -1.66 101.4 25.0
Renan Lenz Renan Lenz F 32 8.6 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 4.1 -29 21 -1.4 -7.5 25.0 25.0 50.0 -3.91 279.5 29.2
Alex Mortensen Alex Mortensen - 4 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Xan Ricketts Xan Ricketts F 5 2.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.01 0 0
Ryan Osterloh Ryan Osterloh C 6 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 -0.83 100.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG